Two Dozen Cargo ships stuck in Arctic as ice freezes early
Where are the ‘rapidly warming winters’ this time round? It seems global warming is behaving badly, in parts of the Arctic at least.
Shipping firms blame the Russian Met office for a forecast that failed to predict the early ice, says the Telegraph.
More than two dozen cargo vessels are stuck in Russia’s Arctic ice, waiting for ice-breakers to come to their rescue, after an inaccurate forecast from the country’s Met Office.
Maritime traffic in the Northern Sea Route has been on the rise in recent years as rapidly warming winters (allegedly – Ed) reduce ice cover, and Russia invests in its Arctic ports in preparation for a further boom.
But this year several segments of the Northern Sea Route froze up about a fortnight earlier than usual, catching many ships unawares.
Alexei Likhachyov – director general of Russia’s state-owned nuclear energy company Rosatom, which manages the country’s nuclear-power fleet of ice-breakers – said on Monday that the ships included vessels sailing under the flags of Hong Kong and Marshall Islands.
He blamed the Russian Met office for a forecast that failed to predict the early ice, in comments to local media.
See more here: climatism.wordpress.com
Header image: The Times
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Jerry Krause
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Hi PSI Readers,
I am trying to encourage PSI Readers to take a look at actually measured data. So go to this link (http://polarportal.dk/en/sea-ice-and-icebergs/) whose data is clearly related to this Article. Click on SEA ICE TEMPERATURES and then on the images which begins a day by day video of sea ice temperatures which begins about Oct. 7. And if the video is too fast for you to study you can step through the daily images by clicking the forward or backward daily images.
What I advise you to focus upon are the intense blue images, which indicate ice surface temperatures of negative 30 to 40 Celsius temperatures, and which appear to appear anddisappear somewhat randomly about the Ocean’s surface. And consider my explanation for these random extreme cold surfaces which have become constant large areas of extreme cold temperatures is there are no clouds (clear skies) to block the transmission of the IR radiation being emitted from the ice surface.
Then after viewing these temperatures, next look at daily images of the sea ice extent and depth during this same fall phase of the Ocean freezing.
But this is not all!!! You can look back at the same days of sea ice temperatures of previous years and see how hard it might be to predict when the summer shipping lanes might freeze over
If one does this, I am sure that any non-scientist, who is a PSI Reader, will get excited at what can be SEEN because of modern TECHNOLOGY!!! And maybe any PSI Reader, who is a SCIENTIST and not aware of this data, may get excited too!!!
Have a good day, Jerry
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Koen Vogel
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Hi Jerry,
Yes, definitely interesting. The sea ice thickness graph shows that the OCT-NOV 2021 sea ice volume line nearly coincides with the 2004-2013 average line. This strongly suggests that the Arctic Ocean has on average been cooling since OCT-NOV 2019-2020, when sea ice was at extreme lows. As you suggest, the heat probably left via IR to the atmosphere and space, which you apparently attribute to the absence of cloud cover. Is it your theory that water vapor is acting as a greenhouse gas, that is capturing and re-emitting IR heat back to the Arctic in 2019-2020? If so, then please consider another scenario: that something that was heating the Arctic Ocean in 2019-2020 is now heating it less. NASA data indicate the Arctic’s albedo has changed by -4 to -8 % between 2000-2012 (https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/84499/measuring-earths-albedo), which they interpret to be due to “reflectivity decreasing markedly [as a] result of the declining sea ice on the Arctic Ocean and increasing dust and soot on top of the ice”, facts not in evidence. An alternative intepretation is that the Arctic’s albedo remains constant, and the Arctic is unexplainably heating up (emitting more IR) at it’s North Pole in a fashion similar to Neptune (https://www.nasa.gov/centers/jpl/news/neptune-20070918.html), Saturn (https://www.space.com/18473-saturn-temperature.html), and Jupiter (https://principia-scientific.com/jupiter-energy-crisis-caused-by-auroras-scientists-find/). I have correlated the Arctic’s heating with magnetic variability caused by changes in solar wind strength (see PROM article on this site). If this is indeed the cause of the 1980-2020 Arctic heating then sea ice thicknesses will rapidly start to increase between 2021 and 2040 as we approach the solar minimum and the solar wind strength decreases. If they don’t then, hey it was a thought.
Cheers, Koen
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Jerry Krause
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Hi Koen,
“Is it your theory that water vapor is acting as a greenhouse gas,?” No!!! Because there areas 1000s of meteorological weather stations worldwide which measure the air temperature about 1.5 meters above the ground and measure the relative humidity at the same location and time. And if the dew point (or frost point temperature is not measured direct as it can be; the dew point or frost point temperatures can be determined, as they have for centuries from air temperature and relative humidity measurements. So it has never been found (outside of experimental error) that the air temperature is ever below that of dew-frost point temperature. Hence, the air temperature can never be less than that measured. So there is no GREENHOUSE EFFECT due the atmospheric carbon dioxide nor water vapor nor other possible greenhouse gases.
To explain why the arctic air temperature is seldom below neg 40 degrees only requires one not overlook that the salt water of the Arctic Ocean is only few degrees below the melting point of the pure water ice.
When you focus upon the albedo for the variable temperatures during the winter it seems to me that the albedo cannot be a factor then because there is no sunlight during winter.
Cloud droplets or atmospheric ice crystals of various structures scatter the IR radiation being emitted from the cold ice or water surfaces; but in either case the liquid water is only a few degrees below the melting of water. So, since the air temperature of the Arctic during winter is seldom ever as warm as liquid water, the clouds warm the atmosphere over the ice as the emission from the ice surface is scattered back toward the ice surface. Which scattering is obviously less when the sky is clear and the ice surface temperature drops to near its low temperature of neg. 40 degrees.
Clouds are variable as tdatmosphere circulates as evidenced by variable winds. Etc. Etc. And I am not even recognizing the geothermal activity evidenced by volcanic Greenland and other Arctic islands.
Have a good day, Jerry
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Jasper's Farm
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Global Warming, huh?
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Tom
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Darn that global warming for creating all that ice.
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