The False Premise of COVID-19

Introduction On 23rd March 2020, Boris Johnson, Prime Minister of the UK, announced to the nation that the SARS-Cov-2 virus outbreak was the “biggest threat this country has faced for decades”. [1]

Justifying unprecedented, draconian measures of shutting down schools, businesses and shops, confining healthy people to their homes except for “basic necessities” as deemed by the government, and special powers to the police, he continued, “there will come a moment when no health service in the world could possibly cope because there won’t be enough ventilators, enough intensive care beds, enough doctors and nurses”.

“And as we have seen elsewhere, in other countries that also have fantastic health care systems, that is the moment of real danger. To put it simply, if too many people become seriously unwell at one time, the NHS will be unable to handle it – meaning more people are likely to die, not just from coronavirus but from other illnesses as well. So, it’s vital to slow the spread of the disease.”

The decisions taken by Johnson’s government, including the Chief Medical Officer Prof. Chris Whitty and Secretary of State for Health and Social Care Matt Hancock, were on the premise of modelling by a team at Imperial College London, led by Prof. Neil Ferguson, showing that with no intervention, there could be 510,000 deaths in Britain. [2]

Critics of Johnson actually claimed that he should have acted by locking down sooner. [3] The Imperial team still later claimed that the interventions “may have prevented three million coronavirus deaths” across Europe. [4]

However, empirical analysis of the data compared to the model hypotheses strongly suggests that, at best, the interventions played no part in mitigating the impact of the virus. At worst, they probably caused considerably more harm than good.

Discussion

  1. Hypothesis: According to the results of their model (the “model”), Ferguson et al. recommended a suppression strategy to be put in place until a vaccine was found which might take up to 18 months because mitigation was deemed unlikely to be effective: [5]

Empirical analysis: The suppression strategy was supposed to last 18 months and be subject to revision according to “ongoing surveillance” but still remain in place for “several months”.

According to surveillance of the empirical data, as depicted in Figure 1 and with respect to the progression of daily COVID deaths (even in spite of the fact that there is evidence of COVID deaths being exaggerated), the virus is no longer circulating so there is no need for further interventions. [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] The expected timeframe for intervention is off by several months and the need for a vaccine is not apparent.

OTHER STUDIES HAVE DEMONSTRATED THAT MITIGATION STRATEGIES WOULD HAVE WORKED AT LEAST AS WELL OR EVEN BETTER THAN FULL SUPPRESSION WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LESS COLLATERAL COST. [11] [12]

2. Hypothesis: After the first intervention, ICU occupation would peak 3 weeks later due to the expected lag between infection and hospitalization.

Empirical analysis: As depicted in Figure 1, ICU admissions peaked on 1st April, just 8 days after all the interventions were imposed. The peak in weekly ICU admissions was 5th April, case rate on 3rd April, and absolute real cases on 8th April, all well BEFORE 3 weeks since the main intervention. [13]

The information used in the model to predict a 3-week lag between infection and hospitalisation has been confirmed many times by independent empirical studies. [14] [15] [16] [17]

IT IS COMPLETELY UNFEASIBLE THAT THE INTERVENTIONS COULD HAVE BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR THE PEAK IN ICU ADMISSIONS. 3 WEEKS AFTER THE INTERVENTION ICU ADMISSIONS HAD ALREADY SIGNIFICANTLY DECLINED.

IT IS VERY STRONGLY IMPLIED THAT THE INTERVENTIONS COULD NOT HAVE CAUSED THE DECLINE IN CASES OR CASE RATE.

3. Hypothesis: Infections would quickly rise when interventions were relaxed, as measured by cases.

Empirical Analysis: As depicted in Figure 1, interventions have been lifted on 3 occasions since the beginning of June with absolutely no impact on cases, even in spite of the fact that more tests have been processed, in stark contrast to the hypothesis that transmission would “quickly rebound”. [18] [19]

IT IS VERY STRONGLY IMPLIED THAT THE INTERVENTIONS MADE NO IMPACT.

4. Hypothesis: If interventions were lifted after 5 months, ICU bed occupation (green line) would surge higher than initially forecasted in the “do nothing” scenario, effectively a “second wave”. According to the model, ICU occupation would rise from mid-October if interventions were lifted in August, i.e. 6 weeks later.

Empirical analysis: Given that interventions were lifted between June and July, it is still just too early to test this hypothesis but given that there has been no increase in cases which was expected to be immediate according to the model, nor subsequent increase in ICU admissions that were expected to have occurred within 3 weeks, it is very difficult to accept that ICU admissions will suddenly rise to the afore-predicted levels.

THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR A “SECOND WAVE” OR A SURGE IN DEMAND FOR ICU CAPACITY.

5.Hypothesis: Strategy requires the relaxation and re-application of interventions triggered by weekly ICU bed admissions. The number widely reported as the target number of deaths as a result of this strategy was the result of the 200 trigger.

Empirical analysis: The interventions seem to have been lifted when weekly ICU admissions fell below 200 which is an extraordinarily low figure given that capacity is 5,000 beds and extra beds were made available in the Nightingale hospitals that were hardly used. [20] It is evident from the data well before then that there is no pressure on ICU capacity for some time.

INEXPLICABLY, THE ADDITIONAL ICU RESOURCE WAS REMOVED RATHER THAN INTERVENTIONS LIFTED.

Hypothesis: The reduction in deaths was only achievable if the strategy was maintained over a 2-year period. Inevitably, this is in recognition of the fact that the strategy would not reduce mortality, only defer it. The expectation is that a vaccine is discovered before the 2-year period which is how the mortality reduction is achieved.

It is clear that the pandemic is over in Britain by looking at both the case numbers and ICU admissions. The case rate, which is a more reliable measure of contagion than absolute number of cases since the latter is a function of the number of tests, has been below the false positive level of 2.3% since 4th [21] [22]

This is supported by new information regarding lower adaptive herd immunity thresholds required for complete herd immunity due to the significant presence of innate and cross-immunity and a control in the form of Sweden who did not ostensibly lockdown. [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32]

Given all the above, it is therefore evident that the end result in terms of mortality is akin to the “do nothing” scenario. This is corroborated by the results of a Norwegian study (in Norwegian). [33] Norway did “lockdown” to the same extent as the UK.

The study shows that the R0 in Norway was already in substantial decline by the time the interventions were imposed on 12th March, prompting Norwegian Institute of Public Health, director general Camille Stoltenberg, to have the good grace to admit that lockdown was a mistake. [34]

According to official mortality data from the ONS, there have been 50,000 deaths where “COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate”, 0f which just over 1% were under 60 with no serious pre-existing comorbidity. [35]

It is evident from Figure 2 that during the height of the epidemic, a significant number of deaths could not be attributed to COVID-19 even using this liberal determination – roughly 14,000 deaths between weeks-ending 3rd April to 1st May.

IT IS STRONGLY SUGGESTED THAT OTHER ACTIVITIES AND EFFECTS RESULTING FROM LOCKDOWN RATHER THAN DIRECTLY FROM THE VIRUS ITSELF WERE RESPONSIBLE FOR THESE EXCESS DEATHS.

It is also apparent from Figure 2 that there has been no material net excess death in England and Wales since the week-ending 22nd May which would again indicate the end of the epidemic and imply the end of the circulation of the virus week-ending 8th May, almost 1 month prior to the first easing of lockdown restrictions.

USING THE ABSOLUTE UPPER LIMIT OF 50,000 COVID-19 DEATHS, IT IS EVIDENT THAT THE MODEL OVER-ESTIMATED THE UNMITIGATED BURDEN OF DEATH BY AT LEAST AN ORDER OF MAGNITUDE.

IT IS VERY STRONGLY SUGGESTED THAT INTERVENTIONS, TO ANY EXTENT THEY WERE EFFECTIVE, COULD HAVE BEEN LIFTED SEVERAL WEEKS BEFORE THEY WERE.

7. Hypothesis: Without intervention, mortality (daily deaths) would peak after 3 months with 81% of the population infected with an R0 of 2.4.

Empirical analysis: according to the official government website, coronavirus deaths peaked on 10th April, and according to Figure 2 week-ending 17th April, less than 3 to 4 weeks from the main interventions. [36] Given that it is evident that the interventions had little to no effect on transmission, this is effectively the unmitigated peak. The model was off by a significant magnitude.

Using well-substantiated, empirical observations of segmented infection fatality rates (0.04% for under 65s and 1.3% for over 65s), it can be estimated that the total population infected at the end of the epidemic is somewhere around 22.5%, which is consistent with the more recent studies that appear to have been disregarded. [37] [38] [39] [40]

THE MODEL ESTIMATES OF R0, PEAK MORTALITY AND HERD IMMUNITY THRESHOLD, WHICH ARE ALL CRUCIAL IN THE ESTIMATION OF ULTIMATE DEATH TOLL, ARE ALL SO FAR OFF THAT THE ORIGINAL ESTIMATE OF 510,000 UNMITIGATED DEATHS IS TOTALLY IMPLAUSIBLE.

8. Hypothesis: This was all a massive gamble.

Empirical analysis: THE GAMBLE FAILED, RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT OTHER AVOIDABLE LOSS OF LIFE (INCLUDING THE DEATHS OF CHILDREN), UNPRECEDENTED ECONOMIC DESTRUCTION, AND UNACCEPTABLE EROSION OF BASIC CIVIL LIBERTIES. [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55]

THE PREMISE WAS THAT THE VIRUS WAS SO VIRULENT AND THE INTERVENTION SO SUCCESSFUL THAT ONCE LIFTED, VIRAL TRANSMISSION WOULD RESUME IMMEDIATELY, ATTAINING LEVELS OF ICU DEMAND AND DEATH THAT EXCEEDED ORIGINAL EXPECTATIONS. EVIDENTLY, THE EMPIRICAL REALITY COULD NOT BE FURTHER FROM THE HYPOTHESIS.

EVIDENCE WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE ACTUAL DEATH TOLL WOULD EVEN HAVE BEEN MUCH LOWER IF THE NHS HAD NOT ISSUED AN EDICT TO SEND ELDERLY PATIENTS TO CARE HOMES WITHOUT TESTING AND TO CANCEL ALL OTHER ELECTIVE PROCEDURES ON THE RECOMMENDATIONS HEREIN. [56] [57] [58] [59]

THE PREMISE UPON WHICH DRACONIAN AND PERNICIOUS INTERVENTIONS WERE MANDATED, I.E. THAT THERE WERE WOULD BE 510,000 UNMITIGATED DEATHS IS FUNDAMENTALLY FALSE.

THE INTERVENTIONS THAT ENSUED AS A RESULT OF THE FALSE PREMISE HAVE BEEN SHOWN TO HAVE ALREADY BEEN HARMFUL IN ADDITION TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF MORE THAN 200,000 ADDITIONAL DEATHS ATTRIBUTED TO THE INTERVENTIONS OVER THE COMING MONTHS BUT THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF ANY BENEFIT. [60]

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2020/mar/23/uk-coronavirus-live-news-latest-boris-johnson-minister-condemns-people-ignoring-two-metre-distance-rule-in-parks-as-very-selfish

[2] https://www.ft.com/content/249daf9a-67c3-11ea-800d-da70cff6e4d3

[3] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-04-24/coronavirus-uk-how-boris-johnson-s-government-let-virus-get-away

[4] https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/covid19-lockdowns-three-million-deaths-europe-a4463016.html

[5] https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

[6] https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

[7] https://unherd.com/thepost/prof-carl-heneghan-can-we-trust-the-covid-19-death-numbers/

[8] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/coronavirus-daily-deaths-public-health-england-uk-matt-hancock-stats-a9624126.html

[9] https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/publications/deaths-covid-19

[10] https://21stcenturywire.com/2020/07/17/uk-government-panicking-as-fraudulent-covid-death-count-is-revealed/

[11] https://www.ed.ac.uk/covid-19-response/latest-news/two-tier-approach-could-begin-lockdown-end

[12] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_new-study-reveals-blueprint-for-getting-out-activity-6668047114670620673-9jds

[13] https://www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports

[14] https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext

[15] https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-0504

[16] https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/9/2/538

[17] https://europepmc.org/article/ppr/ppr155806

[18] https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public

[19] https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public

[20] https://www.ft.com/content/09897050-13bc-4ebe-99af-25b8d2ab5781

[21] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/895843/S0519_Impact_of_false_positives_and_negatives.pdf

[22] https://mises.org/wire/false-positive-panic-over-covid-19

[23] https://off-guardian.org/2020/07/07/second-wave-not-even-close/

[24] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_covid19-activity-6688897384417640449-i5lt

[25] https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.29.174888v1

[26] https://unherd.com/2020/06/karl-friston-up-to-80-not-even-susceptible-to-covid-19/

[27] https://www.aier.org/article/nobel-laureate-michael-levitt-on-the-lockdowns-i-think-it-is-a-huge-mistake/

[28] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042291v1

[29] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_swiss-professor-offical-covid-narrative-activity-6685935004712755200-Y1IK

[30] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.15.20154294v1

[31] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_the-progress-of-the-covid-19-epidemic-in-activity-6684209216120598528-0HNT

[32] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_whitney-looks-like-sweden-was-right-after-activity-6688022310022082560-OAzt

[33] https://www.fhi.no/contentassets/c9e459cd7cc24991810a0d28d7803bd0/vedlegg/notat-om-risiko-og-respons-2020-05-05.pdf

[34] https://www.theweek.co.uk/107093/norweigian-health-chief-coronavirus-no-lockdown-sweden

[35] https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales

[36] https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

[37] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v3

[38] https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-020-01691-x

[39] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_covid19-lockdowns-masks-activity-6687740644384882688-vISK

[40] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.27.20081893v3

[41] https://forecasters.org/blog/2020/06/14/forecasting-for-covid-19-has-failed/

[42] https://www.pslhub.org/blogs/entry/1040-nhs-treatment-delays-linked-to-more-child-deaths-than-coronavirus/

[43] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_bbc-17th-may-lord-sumption-speaks-out-against-activity-6667860091712225280-L8g1

[44] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_evidencenotfear-activity-6688547995287359488-Whmc

[45] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_modelers-were-astronomically-wrong-in-covid-activity-6684560632479543296-SN53

[46] https://thefatemperor.com/ep85-viral-realities-revealed-dr-john-lee-pathology-professor-lockdown/

[47] https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/05/15/we-could-open-up-again-and-forget-the-whole-thing/

[48] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_lockdown-covid19-activity-6683828404757909504-uXF7

[49] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_lockdown-corononavirus-covid19-activity-6677259221727272960-NZUn

[50] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_the-collateral-damage-of-the-uks-response-activity-6676543689835331586-yP_p

[51] https://altcensored.com/watch?v=-34hZNkHpAA

[52] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_nobel-prize-winning-scientist-the-covid-activity-6667751914140241920-DDne

[53] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_david-starkey-covid-19-britains-disastrous-activity-6670291473742737408-pifc

[54] https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joelsmalley_covid19-coronavirus-activity-6658688963064270848-91Xa

[55] https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/12000-people-day-could-die-covid-19-linked-hunger-end-year-potentially-more-disease

[56] https://www.england.nhs.uk/coronavirus/wp-content/uploads/sites/52/2020/03/urgent-next-steps-on-nhs-response-to-covid-19-letter-simon-stevens.pdf

[57] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/880288/COVID-19_hospital_discharge_service_requirements.pdf

[58] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/893717/admission-and-care-of-residents-during-covid-19-incident-in-a-care-home.pdf#page=6

[59] https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-adult-social-care-action-plan/covid-19-our-action-plan-for-adult-social-care

[60] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8539541/200-000-people-die-delays-healthcare-report-warns.html

About the author: Joel Smalley holds an MBA from the University of Toronto and  works as a Blockchain architect and early stage, polymath data-driven technologist, specializing in fintech, healthtech and IoT. He is currently CEO of Supermoney Ltd and CIO and CTO of Toucan Labs


PRINCIPIA SCIENTIFIC INTERNATIONAL, legally registered in the UK as a company incorporated for charitable purposes. Head Office: 27 Old Gloucester Street, London WC1N 3AX. 

Please DONATE TODAY To Help Our Non-Profit Mission To Defend The Scientific Method.

Trackback from your site.

Comments (13)

  • Avatar

    Andy Rowlands

    |

    Excellent article, lays the facts out clearly. I rather suspect many governments, including ours, are under heavy pressure from the globalists to keep the lockdowns and restrictions on populations in place as long as possible, to get us used to living under ever-increasing regulation, as part of the move to install Socialist regimes in as many countries as they can.

    Reply

    • Avatar

      Finn McCool

      |

      Hi Andy,
      I am of the “opinion” that the old terms like ‘socialist regimes’ don’t really describe the reality of today’s national governments.
      Perhaps a better description would be ‘profit centres’. A country’s President or Prime Minister should be called a Country Manager.
      The POTUS could be considered a ‘Regional Manager’.
      Geographical blocs of states are ’emerging markets’. Like BRICS. Like India, China and South America and the Middle East, their economies and resources are there to be plundered.
      The big Western Banks and Plutocrats could be considered to be Top Level Management, but as far as I can see, it is the IMF that loans money to Countries and decides which policies Countries should adopt to satisfy the conditions of the ‘loan’. That usually involves selling the family silver which is bought up by western companies and ran profitably for them and at a loss to the citizenry.
      It is modern day colonialism for profit. We, the people, are it’s customers. The COVID ads on the telly are part of the sales pitch. And we bought it. Right down to the masks.
      The real problem with Capitalism is not that it is inherently wrong. It isn’t. It’s that, in the modern world, it is hoarded. Hidden away, unused for the benefit of a society as a whole.
      You could say we have been Scrooge McDucked.

      Reply

      • Avatar

        JaKo

        |

        Hi Finn,
        I think you’re pretty close to what’s really happening; yet, the socialist part is very important in the future, as was demonstrated in the recent past — The Banksters Disaster of 2008 to 09. The multi-million bonuses to the most reckless ones were allowed to be kept as were all the profits up to a point, where the balance sheets ink turned red. A bit of W and most of all Obama (and the EU al) then rescued these poor banksters with public money — isn’t this the hint of the things to come? The one percent can’t do no harm, so their reckless profits are theirs to keep and their failures are for us, the plebs, to “rectify.”
        I HOPE that the Reset they promised to us will come and will far exceed their expectations — their heads must roll; as if not, then, it would take just a bit longer to precipitate another crisis, where we may all perish — a justice for us all…
        Nothing to cheer about,
        JaKo

        Reply

      • Avatar

        Alan

        |

        I cannot accept that money is being horded. It is invested in businesses from which we all benefit. The problem is that we do not have true capitalism, which is based on a competitive free market. We have what I prefer to call state-controlled capitalism. All governments have brought in regulations that limit competition and nothing demonstrates this more than the ridiculous climate change polices and related taxes. The UK energy system is now worse than it was when it was nationalisation. Businesses do not like competition and large corporations have been able to influence governments to introduce regulations that prevent competition. We need to limit the power of governments to interfere in this way. This is what the American constitution was set up to do, but this is slowly being destroyed. Margaret Thatcher realised that a competitive free market was the key to a successful economy and she often referred to the American constitution as an example of good government. She would be shocked to see what is going on today and in particular with the Conservative Party.

        Reply

    • Avatar

      Alan

      |

      The socialist regimes are already in place. Only a socialist regime would impose a lockdown and take away our basic freedoms, based on such flimsy evidence for the polices and without any regard for the future impact of their polices on the economy.

      Reply

  • Avatar

    Finn McCool

    |

    Great article, Joel.
    Prof. Ferguson doesn’t seem to have learned much from his disastrous modelling of the spread of foot and mouth in 2001. The destruction of 10 million animals obviously didn’t affect him. The social disaster ,he caused, to the rural communities seems to be of little consequence to him. Fast forward to 2020. Plus ca change.
    No doubt he will get a Knighthood for his services to the country.

    Reply

    • Avatar

      Joel

      |

      Thanks, Finn. They have to try and perpetuate the lie to save face. But they have gone to far this time. They got away with slaughtering animals but the negligent manslaughter of 1/4 million people won’t be so easy to shirk.

      Reply

  • Avatar

    michael C

    |

    I wish you could summarize the article in several paragraphs.

    Reply

    • Avatar

      Joel

      |

      This is a summary I wrote for a preview on LinkedIn:

      THE COVID19 FALSE PREMISE

      Lockdowns haven’t worked, the virus is no longer circulating, any interventions still in place are completely unnecessary and the catastrophic damage done was all for nothing.

      ICU admissions in the UK peaked on 1st April, just 8 days after all the interventions were imposed.

      IT IS NOT POSSIBLE THAT THE INTERVENTIONS COULD HAVE RESULTED IN THE PEAK IN ICU ADMISSIONS WHICH HAD ALREADY SIGNIFICANTLY DECLINED 3 WEEKS AFTER THE INTERVENTION.

      Interventions have been lifted 3 times since the start of June with no impact on cases in stark contrast to the hypothesis that transmission would “quickly rebound”.

      INTERVENTIONS MADE NO IMPACT.

      It is clear that the pandemic is over in Britain by looking at case rates, numbers and ICU admissions, supported by information regarding lower adaptive herd immunity thresholds, resulting in mortality akin to the “do nothing” scenario.

      WITH 45,000 DEATHS, IT IS EVIDENT THAT THE MODEL OVER-ESTIMATED THE UNMITIGATED BURDEN OF DEATH BY AT LEAST 10X.

      THE GAMBLE FAILED, RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT OTHER AVOIDABLE LOSS OF LIFE, UNPRECEDENTED ECONOMIC DESTRUCTION, AND UNACCEPTABLE EROSION OF BASIC CIVIL LIBERTIES.

      The premise is false and the interventions did more harm than good.

      Reply

  • Avatar

    Michael Clarke

    |

    The mitigation method could work, but only if the tests process was vigorous and infected people isolated. It would also require some form of mandatory testing. Here in Australia there are ethnic groups still refusing to be tested.
    What happened in countries where mitigation was the chosen method, the containment strategy was not implemented or halfheartedly implemented or down right forcibly contravened.
    New York, Sweden and Brazil are examples. You know which of those states/countries are the least effective at mitigation.

    Reply

    • Avatar

      Joel

      |

      Michael Clarke, the data on C19 reveal that for under 65s, it is less lethal than flu as some extremely well-informed scientists (Gupta, Levitt, Ioannidis, etc.) were vilified for suggesting back in March.

      Today, anyone still clinging to any novel intervention as a mitigation to C19 has no argument to support their position. There is simply too much data to contradict them.

      Reply

  • Avatar

    Joel Walbert

    |

    I ask in all seriousness. Has a legitimate chain of discovery/custody of this alleged virus ever been independently verified and made available to the public?

    Reply

Leave a comment

Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment.
Share via