The case for the Covid lab-leak theory

I have covered genomic research for years and written several books on the topic. I have a reputation as a strong supporter of biotechnology. But I had not realised just how risky some of the experiments being done on viruses have become in recent years, let alone that they are happening in the centre of a large city.

In recent years in the city of Wuhan, in China, scientists were combining the genomes of coronaviruses taken from bats and making chimera (hybrid viruses) that grew up to 10,000 times more quickly than their parent viruses and were more than three times as lethal to ‘humanised’ mice. Whether similar experiments resulted in the Covid-19 pandemic is still unknown, but they could have done.

In researching our book Viral, updated and newly released in paperback, on the origin of Covid-19, the scientist Alina Chan and I concluded that it is highly likely the outbreak began in Wuhan. The earliest Covid cases in other parts of China, and other countries, link straight back to this modern and prosperous city on the banks of the Yangtze. For instance, a case in Beijing who fell ill as early as 17 December 2019 turns out to have travelled that day from Wuhan.

There is no longer much doubt that the first cases in Wuhan were in November or possibly October 2019. This fits with a leaked Chinese government document in 2020, which said an early case had been retrospectively identified on 17 November. Yet official Chinese sources still say the first known case was in December.

Nor is there much doubt that the virus came originally from a horseshoe bat living a long way south of Wuhan. The closest relatives of SARS-CoV-2 in the wild were found in horseshoe bats in a mineshaft in Yunnan, in a limestone cave in Laos and in a cave in Mengla county on the Yunnan-Laos border.

The central question is, and always has been, who or what brought a bat virus more than a thousand miles north in the autumn of 2019 to the middle of a modern city?

This is where a paper that came out in the last month is unintentionally revealing. Written by nine scientists affiliated with the Chinese Academy of Sciences in Beijing, it spends several paragraphs lambasting a group of American scientists for ‘obfuscating the epidemic outbreak place… and the origin (ie, spillover) place’ and for ‘overstating conclusions based on limited data and unrealistic simulations’.

The objects of their ire are not the people who speculate that the virus might have come from a lab, but those who say it got to Wuhan through the wildlife trade and point to a concentration of early human cases in the Huanan seafood market in Wuhan. This is nonsense, say the Beijing scientists: no animals for sale in the market tested positive.

The lab-leak theory they dismiss even more cursorily: ‘The debate on natural and laboratory-leak origin has just subsided (though conspiracy theories continue to distract attention from scientific evidence).’

So if it did not come from a lab and did not come from the market, how did the virus get to Wuhan? The scientists point the finger firmly at ‘Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and neighbouring countries’, but come up with no evidence on who or what might have brought it to the middle of China before it infected anybody in those other countries.

They dare not quite reheat the old, discredited dish they served last year, that the virus reached China on frozen fish from abroad. (Think about it: why fish? Why was no one infected at the start of the journey or along the way? Why only Wuhan?)

In effect, the new paper reveals that the Chinese government (which approves all publications on the topic of Covid’s origins within China) is in a dilemma. It cannot concede that the virus started in its legal or illegal wildlife trade without huge embarrassment to the Xi Jinping regime, which has encouraged the first and tried to eliminate the second. But nor can it admit that the virus escaped from one of its labs without even greater humiliation. Yet it still cannot think of a remotely plausible alternative.

In researching Viral, we found that the most useful information mainly came not from official sources or intelligence agencies, nor from professional scientists and not from investigative journalists, either. It came from a handful of determined ‘internet detectives’, who dug into obscure data and found things the official sources preferred we did not know.

It was ‘The Seeker’ (Jeet Ray) in India who found a series of medical and biological theses, which revealed that scientists from Wuhan had travelled more than a thousand miles to investigate a suspected outbreak of a SARS-like virus in an abandoned mineshaft in Mojiang county, Yunnan, which killed three people who had been shovelling bat guano and nearly killed three more in 2012. In 2013 the scientists brought back to Wuhan a bat virus closely related to SARS-CoV-2, but Alina and other sleuths soon found that they sequenced its genome in 2018, not 2020 as they had implied.

It was Charles Small, an open-source intelligence analyst, who noticed that the key virus database in Wuhan – created to predict and inform a pandemic response – went offline at 2am on 12 September 2019, and it has not been accessible since.

And it was an anonymous French person called ‘Babar the elephant’ and a Spaniard called Francisco de Asis de Ribera who figured out half way through 2020 that eight other viruses closely related to SARS-CoV-2 had been found by the Wuhan Institute of Virology. The virus samples, whose existence they spotted in a trove of obscure data, had been collected from bats in 2015 in the same Mojiang mine.

Somewhat sheepishly, the Wuhan Institute of Virology’s key bat-virus scientist, Shi Zhengli, admitted a few months later that yes, there were eight other viruses and that the institute would publish all their genomes.

We keep coming back to this simple question: why Wuhan? It does not do much wildlife trade with southeast Asia compared with other Chinese cities. It is not in an area where the horseshoe bats carry such SARS-like viruses poised for spillover into people: we know this from extensive surveys of bat viruses in the region of Wuhan done mainly by Jun-hua Tian of the local Centres for Disease Control and Prevention.

But there is one thing that stands out about Wuhan. It is the home of the Wuhan Institute of Virology. This is China’s leading bat SARS-like virus research laboratory. It (and nowhere else in China) is the lab that tracked down the ancestral source of the first SARS epidemic. It led more expeditions to look for bat SARS-like viruses in southern China than any other lab.

It sampled that mineshaft in Mojiang county at least seven times after the guano shovelers fell ill and found the then closest relatives of SARS-CoV-2 in bats there. It is where scientists sent samples from bats in Laos, a country where an even closer relative to the pandemic virus was found. It has the largest database of SARS-like viruses in the world by some distance, but has refused to release it, even though doing so at the start of the pandemic would have been the easiest way to exonerate its scientists.

And that is only the start of the coincidences. The Wuhan Institute of Virology (and nowhere else in China) is home to the team that collaborated with American labs to develop techniques for manipulating SARS-like viruses in the laboratory to test their infectivity. It kept live bats in the lab to experiment on. It grew live SARS-like viruses in culture and infected human airway-epithelial cells with them. It developed humanised mice to test viruses on. It was swapping parts of spike genes from newly discovered viruses collected from nature into cultured viruses in the lab.

And then came the most shocking revelation of all. We knew from the start that SARS-CoV-2 is the only SARS-like virus ever found – among hundreds – with a furin-cleavage site in its spike protein: an insertion of 12 letters of genetic code that makes the virus especially infectious, and is therefore the reason we had a pandemic and not just a localised outbreak.

But in September 2021 a document was leaked to internet sleuths that showed the Wuhan laboratory was party to plans in 2018 to insert novel furin-cleavage sites into undefined SARS-like viruses in its possession.

Yet the institute and its American collaborators had never bothered to tell the world about this plan, and they ignored the furin-cleavage site in their seminal 2020 paper about this virus in the journal Nature.

Alina Chan’s analogy here is apt: imagine scientists describing a newly discovered unicorn, but failing to mention its horn. And then failing to mention that a year and half before a unicorn shows up running down the street in Wuhan, they had drawn up plans to genetically engineer horses with horns on.

In a court of law, a prosecutor would regard all this as a strong case. ‘Of all the gin joints in all the towns in all the world, she walks into mine’, he would probably say, quoting Humphrey Bogart in Casablanca. And then he would start going through the extraordinary litany of unhelpful obstacles that the Chinese government has put in the way of the World Health Organisation and everybody else who tries to get information on the early patients and what happened in the lab.

When WHO investigators went to Wuhan in early 2021 they spent just three hours in the institute and visited the wrong lab (with the wrong biosafety level) on the wrong campus (in Jiangxia instead of Wuchang).

As far as we know the WHO investigators were not shown the lower biosafety labs where the SARS-like virus work had been conducted.

We don’t say this virus definitely jumped out of a laboratory, but we do say that if there is one city in the world where a laboratory leak of a novel SARS-like virus from bats would be most likely to happen, it would be Wuhan.

See more here: spiked-online.com

Bold emphasis added

Header image: Pharma Industry Review

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Comments (10)

  • Avatar

    bill

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    If the virus had been cultured and modified in a lab, then it must have been isolated. Yet despite many FOI requests, no government/organisation has yet admitted to having done so and the scamdemic response has been built around a Virus created insilico from rNA(?) fragments; ie: a computer lash-ups. How can this be so?

    Reply

  • Avatar

    Tom

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    Not buying this specter of biological theater. Amazing how a presumed virus could appear in many different places so quickly. Amazing that with all the presumed viruses running around the world that billions are not infected and possibly dying.

    Amazing that there is no vetted and standardized testing for these viruses. Amazing that fruit and oil have tested positive for covid. Amazing that the regular always on time flu season has suddenly gone bye-bye for the last 2 years.

    Amazing that if this thing started in China that more Chinese weren’t affected because of population density and proximity which you would expect because the thing was relatively unknown. Amazing that there were simulations for a covid attack months ahead of time. Amazing that moderna was already working on an mRNA injection for covid months ahead to the presumed outbreak.

    What isn’t amazing is that yet another fake pandemic like SARS 1, bird flu, swine flu, MERS, Asian flu, etc was enacted to further medical terrorism. Are you ready for the next fake pandemic? The one you swear you will not fall victim of? The one where you will resist the silly nonsense of masking, distancing, lockdowns and fake vaccines that have done nothing but create new miseries? Time will tell. Hint…flu season is only 3-5 months away as are the elections in the US.

    Reply

  • Avatar

    John O'Sullivan

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    Tom, totally agree with all your points. Also amazing how inventor of the PCR test, Mullis, who warned his test was not a reliable diagnostic tool, died just before the fake pandemic. Plus, amazing how first world nations with supposedly the best healthcare systems, suffered the highest percentages of covid deaths. Amazing too, how the lockdowns increased the wealth of the billionaire class by 30% while the rest of us became markedly poorer, etc, etc,

    Reply

  • Avatar

    Stephen Lord

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    we are looking at a multilayered coverup of a deliberate biowarfare attack on the USA to take out Trump. The lableak theory is the next layer. Wuhan was chosen as the release point because of the US NIH involvement. I expect a further layer where the Fulon gong are blamed for sabotage. The genius of the attack was releasing it in China where they could avoid suspicion and model the key terror multiplier of the lockdown. Cui bono.

    Reply

    • Avatar

      Alcheminister

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      Wtf?

      Tell me, did he not espouse and allow vaccines, associated with Fauci, Birx, etc. Did he not steal from American taxpayers repeatedly? Did he not try to promote pharmaceuticals such as Remdesivir? What other sort of associations (hint…scum)?

      What does it say here?
      https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-announcement-remdesivir/

      “Oval Office

      3:37 P.M. EDT

      THE PRESIDENT: Well, thank you very much. And welcome to Dan O’Day, CEO of Gilead. You know what that is because it’s been in the news and the company has been in the news, and it’s a great American company that’s done incredible work on HIV and hepatitis C. And I hear that — that’s what’s happening with hepatitis is the great — a great medical story. Really, a great medical story. I’ve been hearing about that. It’s fantastic, Dan.

      I’m pleased to announce that Gilead now has an EUA from the FDA for remdesivir. And you know what that is because that’s been the hot thing also in the papers and in the media for the last little while. An important treatment for hospitalized coronavirus patients. And it’s something — I spoke with Dr. Hahn and Dr. Fauci; I spoke with Deborah about it. And it’s — it’s really a very promising situation.

      We’ve been doing work with the teams at the FDA, NIH, and Gilead for spearheading this public-private partnership to make this happen very quickly.

      So, today, we’re going to be — and I’m going to let Dan do it — but we’re going to let Dan make a statement as to what the company is doing, making a contribution to, really, people that are not doing well, people that are sick, people that have this horrible plague that’s set into our country and that we’re getting rid of. And we’re going to be — we’re going to be having some really incredible results.

      We have very promising studies coming out on the vaccines. We have promising studies coming out on therapeutics. And the first one is from Dan and Gilead. And I’d like to maybe have you say a few words, if you would, Dan, as to, number one, about remdesivir, to start off with, and also the contribution being made by your company. And we very much appreciate it.”

      There is absolutely no way I would vote for Trump (or Biden).

      Reply

  • Avatar

    Saeed Qureshi

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    A great work of fiction. Why fiction? Because for something to leak, someone has to have it. The problem is no one in the world has seen the virus or is in possession of it – no one!

    These “scientists” and their journalists are dommed – perhaps trying to make a case for THEIR survival. Sorry, it would not work – the hen with golden eggs has already been killed.

    Reply

  • Avatar

    Artelia

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    It was deliberately released BUT there were not nearly as many CASES as the ridiculous testing would have us all believe. We continually have viruses and germs deliberately released over populations. Aircraft spraying, spraying from ships, spraying from bridges, at airports, malls, underground railways, who knows all of the ways we are subjected to biological experimental substances to sterilize us and hinder our health and vitality. Electrical waves are being used against us now too!

    Reply

    • Avatar

      Alcheminister

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      Those are not “viruses” and “germs” what you are referring to are simply toxic products.

      “Viruses” simply do not exist or function as claimed. The entire NIH “virus” library is fake.

      Reply

  • Avatar

    denis dombas

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    it is not a “leak” but done on purpose to depopulate earth!

    Reply

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