Should We Fear a Super Solar Flare?

Written by Trudy E. Bell & Dr. Tony Phillips

May 6, 2008: At 11:18 AM on the cloudless morning of Thursday, September 1, 1859, 33-year-old Richard Carrington—widely acknowledged to be one of England’s foremost solar astronomers—was in his well-appointed private observatory. Just as usual on every sunny day, his telescope was projecting an 11-inch-wide image of the sun on a screen, and Carrington skillfully drew the sunspots he saw.

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Above: Sunspots sketched by Richard Carrington on Sept. 1, 1859.

On that morning, he was capturing the likeness of an enormous group of sunspots. Suddenly, before his eyes, two brilliant beads of blinding white light appeared over the sunspots, intensified rapidly, and became kidney-shaped. Realizing that he was witnessing something unprecedented and “being somewhat flurried by the surprise,” Carrington later wrote, “I hastily ran to call someone to witness the exhibition with me. On returning within 60 seconds, I was mortified to find that it was already much changed and enfeebled.” He and his witness watched the white spots contract to mere pinpoints and disappear.

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Climate Models Fail Again, Didn’t Predict CO2 Would Green The Western US

Written by MICHAEL BASTASCH

A new study just gave people another reason to be skeptical of climate models relied upon by scientists to predict the future impacts of global warming.

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Climate models have long predicted man-made global warming would cause the western U.S. to become more arid and brown, but that’s not what happened. A new study examining three decades worth of satellite data found the western U.S. — indeed, the world in general — is greening because of increased carbon dioxide emissions.

It’s another prediction failure from climate models, according to Chip Knappenberger, a scientist at the libertarian Cato Institute. Knappenberger pointed out on Twitter that climate models predicting “browning” in the western U.S. were dead wrong.

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Fusion technology breakthrough could herald demise of coal

Written by Ian Greenhalgh

They can’t keep suppressing new energy technologies indefinitely.

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The time when the lid can be kept on energy technologies in order to continue the oil-based economy is coming to an end.  While Keshe may be the one we have all heard of, there are many other technologies that have been suppressed and which hold the potential to end our artificially-imposed dependence on black, gloopy hydrocarbons pumped out of the ground.

This latest disclosure of a new breakthrough in nuclear fusion is a reminder that ‘they’ have technologies that would be of immense benefit to mankind and are not letting us have them.

Recall the crushing of ‘cold fusion’ by Dr Stephen Jones back in the 90s and you will start to realise that these technologies exist and are being held back in order to allow the continued existence of the petrodollar and the usurious financial system built around it.

Worst of all, it is over a century since Tesla came up with ‘free’ electricity and they shut him down the moment he admitted that there was no way to put a meter on it.

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NASA – Doubling Sea Level Rise By Data Tampering

Written by Tony Heller

NASA has doubled 1880 to 1980 sea level rise since Hansen 1983. In 1983, NASA showed very little sea level rise after 1950. Now they show rapid sea level rise from 1950 to 1980.

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 1983: 1983_Hansen_etal_2.pdf  2016 :Sea Level

This fraud should not surprise anyone, because they have also doubled global warming via data tampering during that same time period.

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The Exxon Climate Papers

Written by Andy May, judithcurry.com

New York Attorney General Eric T. Schneiderman has accused ExxonMobil of lying to the public and investors about the risks of climate change according to the NY Times and has launched an investigation and issued a subpoena demanding extensive financial records, emails and other documents.

Massachusetts, the US Virgin Islands, and California are also investigating ExxonMobil. It is interesting that all but one of the attorneys general are Democrats. exxon The remaining attorney general is Claude Walker of the US Virgin Islands who is a Green leaning Independent. So, this is a very partisan investigation, carefully coordinated with anti-fossil fuel activists. How much is there to it?

I’ve reviewed the 22 internal documents from 1977 to 1989 made available by ExxonMobil here. I’ve also reviewed what I could find on 104 publications (most are peer-reviewed) with ExxonMobil personnel as authors or co-authors. For some of the peer-reviewed articles I only had an abstract and for some I could find the reference but no abstract or text without paying a fee. Below this short essay is an annotated bibliography of all 22 internal documents and 89 of the published papers. The documents are interesting reading, they fill in the history of modern climate science very well. Much of the current debate on climate change was being debated in the same way, and often with the same uncertainties, in 1977.

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Huge coral reef discovered at Amazon river mouth

Written by John Vidal

Scientists astonished to find 600-mile long reef under the muddy water in a site already marked for oil exploration.

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A huge 3,600 sq mile (9,300 sq km) coral reef system has been found below the muddy waters off the mouth of the river Amazon, astonishing scientists, governments and oil companies who have started to explore on top of it.

The existence of the 600-mile long reef, which ranges from about 30-120m deep and stretches from French Guiana to Brazil’s Maranhão state, was not suspected because many of the world’s great rivers produce major gaps in reef systems where no corals grow.

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More Climate ‘Science.’ Moving the Goalposts

Written by Mike Smith

“There is nothing mysterious about using the gap between models and observations at the end of the period as a measure of differing trends.

When Secretariat defeated the field in the 1973 Belmont by 25 lengths, even contemporary climate scientists did not dispute that Secretariat ran faster than the other horses.”  Steve McIntyre

That Secretariat was a very fast horse is about all you can get universal agreement with climate scientists in the field of metrics. When it comes to measurements of the earth’s temperature, which, of course, is their field, the actual data is often tweaked until it agrees with their global warming hypothesis (the exact opposite of how science should be conducted; more on that topic here).

Unfortunately, I have two new examples of climate scientists moving the goalposts from the back of the end zone to the 12-yard line.

Let’s begin with a discovery I made over at NASA’s climate website.

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Fraud Leaves China’s Electric Car Demand in Doubt

Written by Jie Ma & Craig Trudell

The numbers may have looked too good to be true. Suzhou Gemsea Coach Manufacturing Co., operating out of a blue metal shed west of Shanghai, told the Chinese government it produced 3,700 electric vehicles last year — almost all of them in one month.

That month was December, the last before the government reduced subsidies it pays makers of electric and hybrid vehicles to help clear some of the world’s smoggiest skies. When inspectors, accompanied by state TV reporters, swarmed the site in Suzhou to verify the numbers, they found a few Gemsea brand vans parked outside and hardly any modern assembly equipment inside.

The investigation casts doubt on the accuracy of reported Chinese electric-vehicle sales that are double those in the U.S. As the Beijing Auto Show approaches next week, the government is examining whether it doled out money for fake transactions by domestic companies, with the answer potentially curbing bullish expansion plans by Tesla Motors Inc., BYD Co. and other makers.

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“Such behavior is despicable and deserves severe punishment,” Stella Li, senior vice president for Berkshire Hathaway Inc.-backed BYD, said of possible cheating on subsidies. “By doing that, they disturbed the right market order and also led the government to have second thoughts as to whether they should change the existing funding structure.”

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Mars’ surface revealed in unprecedented detail

Written by Yu Tao and Jan-Peter Muller, UCL

The surface of Mars — including the location of Beagle-2 — has been shown in unprecedented detail by UCL scientists using a revolutionary image stacking and matching technique.

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Exciting pictures of the Beagle-2 lander, the ancient lakebeds discovered by NASA’s Curiosity rover, NASA’s MER-A rover tracks and Home Plate’s rocks have been released by the UCL researchers who stacked and matched images taken from orbit, to reveal objects at a resolution up to five times greater than previously achieved.

A paper describing the technique, called Super-Resolution Restoration (SRR), was published in Planetary and Space Science in February but has only recently been used to focus on specific objects on Mars. The technique could be used to search for other artefacts from past failed landings as well as identify safe landing locations for future rover missions. It will also allow scientists to explore vastly more terrain than is possible with a single rover.

Co-author Professor Jan-Peter Muller from the UCL Mullard Space Science Laboratory, said: “We now have the equivalent of drone-eye vision anywhere on the surface of Mars where there are enough clear repeat pictures. It allows us to see objects in much sharper focus from orbit than ever before and the picture quality is comparable to that obtained from landers.

“As more pictures are collected, we will see increasing evidence of the kind we have only seen from the three successful rover missions to date. This will be a game-changer and the start of a new era in planetary exploration.”

Even with the largest telescopes that can be launched into orbit, the level of detail that can be seen on the surface of planets is limited. This is due to constraints on mass, mainly telescope optics, the communication bandwidth needed to deliver higher resolution images to Earth and the interference from planetary atmospheres. For cameras orbiting Earth and Mars, the resolution limit today is around 25cm (or about 10 inches).

By stacking and matching pictures of the same area taken from different angles, Super-Resolution Restoration (SRR) allows objects as small as 5cm (about 2 inches) to be seen from the same 25cm telescope. For Mars, where the surface usually takes decades to millions of years to change, these images can be captured over a period of ten years and still achieve a high resolution. For Earth, the atmosphere is much more turbulent so images for each stack have to be obtained in a matter of seconds.

The UCL team applied SRR to stacks of between four and eight 25cm images of the Martian surface taken using the NASA HiRISE camera to achieve the 5cm target resolution. These included some of the latest HiRISE images of the Beagle-2 landing area that were kindly provided by Professor John Bridges from the University of Leicester.

“Using novel machine vision methods, information from lower resolution images can be extracted to estimate the best possible true scene. This technique has huge potential to improve our knowledge of a planet’s surface from multiple remotely sensed images. In the future, we will be able to recreate rover-scale images anywhere on the surface of Mars and other planets from repeat image stacks” said Mr Yu Tao, Research Associate at UCL and lead author of the paper.

The team’s ‘super-resolution’ zoomed-in image of the Beagle-2 location proposed by Professor Mark Sims and colleagues at the University of Leicester provides strong supporting evidence that this is the site of the lander. The scientists plan on exploring other areas of Mars using the technique to see what else they find.

Sources

  1. Y. Tao, J.-P. Muller. A novel method for surface exploration: Super-resolution restoration of Mars repeat-pass orbital imagery. Planetary and Space Science, 2016; 121: 103 DOI: 10.1016/j.pss.2015.11.010

Read more at sciencedaily.com

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Current Solar Cycle Continues To Be The Weakest In Almost 200 Years …Planet At The Mercy Of The Sun

Written by P Gosselin

The following is the solar part of the latest post at Die kalte Sonne.

The Sun in March 2016 – Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt
(Translated, edited by P Gosselin)

Our mother star was once again less active than normal in March. The observed solar sunspot number (SSN) was 54.9, which was about 2/3 of the mean value (82.5) for this month into the cycle. Here’s what the current solar cycle (SC) looks like so far:

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On the bogus German detection of Einstein’s gravitational waves

Written by Stephen J. Crothers

Stephen Crothers deftly dissects the recent detection, by German scientists, of Einstein’s gravitationaltwo black holes waves generated by the spiral merger of two black holes within some assumed Big Bang universe.

Crothers finds that the LIGO-Virgo Collaborations have either incompetently or intentionally and deceptively identified, using the LIGO apparatus, two black holes spiralling to merger, forming a single black hole.

Crothers writes:

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Irish researchers sweep smartphones clear of super bugs

Written by Joe Fay

Biological cleansing agent bursts forth in home of Westlife

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A team of Irish scientists has developed a way to neutralise that threatening sump of biological mayhem you just can’t leave home without – the mobile phone.

Happily the nano-technology can also be turned on to lesser sources of harmful bacteria such as children’s toys, kitchen worktops, TV remotes and toilet.

A team led by Prof Suresh C Pillai developed the tech at the Institute of Technology in Sligo has been tackling the problem of preventing the spread of resistant bugs by developing an antimicrobial surface that isn’t itself toxic or require the use of UV light to make it work.

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Hiding The Decline In Missouri

Written by Tony Heller

One of the primary excuses used by NOAA to hide the decline in the US temperature record, is Time Of Observation Bias (TOBS.) The theory is that people used to be incredibly stupid and reset their max/min thermometers only once per day – in the afternoon. This would cause double counting of some high temperatures, and result in historical temperatures which were too high.

This theory is easy to test.  Half of the stations in Missouri took their min/max readings during July 1936 in the afternoon, and the other half took them at morning or night during that month. I separated those groups out and found that it makes no difference to summer temperature trends.

The group of morning/night stations has been cooling at almost exactly the rate as the group of all stations. Also note that summer temperatures in the 1930’s are essentially identical in the two groups. No matter what tricks NOAA uses to hide the decline in US temperatures, it doesn’t change the facts.

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Atlantic Coccolithophores Thrive as the Air’s CO2 Content Rises

Written by co2science.org

As anthropogenic CO2 emissions continue to rise, Rivero-Calle et al. (2015) note that oceanic calcifiers “generally are expected to be negatively affected.” However, they say that “using data from the Continuous Plankton Recorder,” they showed that the abundance of coccolithophores (one-celled marine plants that live in large numbers throughout the upper layers of the ocean) in the North Atlantic “increased from ~2{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} to more than 20{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} from 1965 through 2010.”

And being curious about this phenomenon, they report how they used various models to examine more than 20 possible environmental drivers of this change, finding that CO2 and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation were the best predictors.”

This finding led them to further think that the rising CO2 content of Earth’s atmosphere might have been what had promoted the coccolithophores’ accelerating growth rate over the past half century. And in concluding their paper, the five U.S. researchers state that their study does indeed show (1) “a long-term basin-scale increase in coccolithophores” (see figure below) and that this finding does indeed suggest that (2) “increasing CO2 and temperature have accelerated the growth of a phytoplankton group that is important for carbon cycling,” while further noting that (3) “a compilation of 41 independent laboratory studies supports our hypothesis.”

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Paper Reviewed
Rivero-Calle, S., Gnanadesikan, A., Del Castillo, C.E., Balch, W.M. and Guikema, S.D. 2015. Multidecadal increase in North Atlantic coccolithophores and the potential role of rising CO2. Science 350: 1533-1537.

Read more at co2science.org

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Climate: The Only Constant is Change

Written by Patrick Moore

That’s true about life. And it’s true about the climate. The climate has been constantly changing since the earth was formed 4.6 billion years ago.

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For example, in just the past 2000 years, we have seen the Roman Warm Period, when it was warmer than today…Then came the cooler Dark Ages… Followed by the Medieval Warm period, when it was at least as warm as today… Then we had the Little Ice Age — that drove the Vikings out of Greenland. And, most recently, a gradual 300-year warming to the present day. That’s a lot of changes. And, of course, not one of them was caused by humans.

During the past 400,000 years there have been four major periods of glaciation — meaning that vast sheets of ice covered a good part of the globe — interrupted by brief interglacial periods. We are in one of those periods right now. This is all part of the Pleistocene Ice Age which began in earnest two and a half million years ago. It’s still going on, which means that we are still living in an ice age. That’s the reason there’s so much ice at the poles. Thirty million years ago the earth had no ice on it at all.  

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‘Impossible’ EmDrive flying saucer thruster may herald new theory of inertia

Written by Andrew Orlowski

An explanation for Roger Shawyer’s seemingly impossible EmDrive has been offered.

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The RF resonant cavity thruster was first proposed by British aerospace engineer Roger Shawyer in 1999. It bounces microwaves around within a cone-nosed container, with the container moving in the direction of the cone end.

Despite skepticism from the scientific priesthood – who are adamant that an EmDrive would violate the conservation principle – tests in Germany, China and at NASA have found that the EmDrive produces thrust that could not be explained.

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