IPCC Models Ramped Up Warming, Now Their Ocean Heat Claims Trashed
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) models have always run hot, predicting more surface warming than measurements are able to confirm. [some emphasis, links added]
Rather than accept that their models are wrong, along with their underlying hypothesis regarding CO2-induced anthropogenic global warming (AGW), IPCC members have struggled to find an excuse.
For a while, the excuse was that aerosols in the atmosphere, such as dust, sulfate particles, sea salt, industrial smoke, and volcanic ash, were masking the effect of CO2-induced AGW.
By virtue of their ability to scatter and reflect sunlight back into space, they produce a cooling effect. However, upon further investigation, that theory came up short in providing the answer to the missing heat.
The next idea to gain prominence was the theory that the ocean was absorbing all the additional heat generated by AGW. IPCC scientists estimated that 90% of the additional heat was taken up in the oceans.
It was an interesting theory that is almost impossible to confirm. The ocean possesses a vast heat storage capacity, and it would be nearly impossible to detect a change in its temperature.
However, IPCC scientists were convinced that a temperature rise could and would be detected.
IPCC member states embarked on a massive program to place monitoring buoys in the ocean that would measure an infinitesimal change in global ocean temperature.
These buoys would periodically submerge to various depths, measure temperature, and then pop back to the surface to relay their information to satellites that would disseminate it to IPCC scientists.
IPCC scientists are proud of their latest science project. Unfortunately, they have also been sloppy with it.
A new report entitled “IPCC’s Earth Energy Imbalance Assessment is Based on Physically Invalid Argo-Float-Based Estimates of Global Ocean Heat Content” examines how their numbers are actually calculated.
It reveals them to represent computational artifacts rather than measurements of real physical energy, rendering the entire process a category error.
Why am I not surprised? When you see this pattern with the IPCC again and again, you lose confidence in its scientific prowess and conclude that it is primarily an ideologically-driven political body.
Top: Ocean buoys track rising temperatures, but data interpretation can exaggerate warming claims (right).
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