El Niño Weather undoubtedly linked to 22-year solar cycle
A new, shattering study by scientists shows natural El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO) are undoubtedly linked to the 22-year Hale solar cycle – far beyond any coincidence. NOTHING TO DO WITH CO2.
German climate news site Die Klimaschau, Episode 36, reports on the new findings published in the journal of Earth and Space Science by Robert Leamon et al (2021).
The new study ties solar variability to the onset of decadal La Niña events.
El Niño and La Niña events cause global temperatures to fluctuate by more than half a degree, and affect droughts and flooding globally. Predicting them would be extremely useful. However, their predictability has remained elusive.
The findings of the new paper promise, however, to vastly improve predictions, as these equatorial Pacific oscillations have now been linked to solar activity, principally “a more precise 22-year clock for solar activity, derived from the Sun’s magnetic polarity, which completes a full cycle every 22 years (the Hale Cycle).
The 22-year Hale Cycle
The 22-year cycle begins when oppositely charged magnetic bands that wrap the Sun appear near the star’s polar latitudes. Over the cycle, these bands migrate toward the equator — causing sunspots to appear as they travel across the mid-latitudes of the Sun.
The cycle ends when the magnetic bands meet in the middle and terminate one another in what the research team calls a “terminator event”.
And whenever that happens, a new La Niña event begins.
Each green line coincides with the end of a solar 22-year Hale Cycle, which also happens to coincide with the start of a new La Nina – the onset of a marked global temperature drop.
The solar-ENSO clock
According to Eureka Alert, the researchers imposed these terminator events over sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific back to 1960 and found that the five terminator events occurring between 1960 and 2010-11 all coincided with a flip from an El Niño to a La Niña.
La Niña starts on time for 6th consecutive time!
The authors add: “The end of the most recent solar cycle — which is unfolding now — is also coinciding with the beginning of a La Niña event.”
The latest marks the 6th consecutive time. The chances of this happening, they add, are much less than 1 in 5000!
Nothing to do with CO2
In the world of climate alarmism, the global temperature increases associated with El Niño events are often blamed on CO2. Nothing could be further from the truth.
And when global temperatures drop during times of La Niña – as has been the case once again for the current La Niña – alarmists choose to wait things out. But now it appears we have found a natural explanation – the solar 22-year Hale Cycle.
It has nothing to do with CO2.
The mechanism that acts between the Sun and the earth is still a mystery. The scientists believe it is linked by the the Sun’s magnetic field.
So, if you wish to know when we can expect a new La Niña, at the latest just wait until the start of the next solar cycle!
Six consecutive times is no coincidence.
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Howdy
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The new study ties solar variability to the onset of decadal La Niña events.
Everything is cyclical, why should El Niño be any different? I don’t see what’s shattering about it.
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MattH
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When one observes the SST anomaly map it appears that during La Nina warmer water than average is entering the Arctic Ocean from both sides.
https://www.axios.com/2022/06/16/la-nina-triple-dip-global-temperatures
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Joseph Olson
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“Corollation of Seismic Activity and Recent Global Warming” by Dr Arthur Viterito at Principia Scientific International website. El Nino and La Nina have high corollation with seismic activity, indicating a solar/volcanic link.
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MattH
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Quantum mechanics. Entanglement.
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/10/04/europe/nobel-prize-physics-winner-2022-intl-scn/index.html
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Jerry Krause
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Hi Matt,
I had not read, or heard about Einstein’s statement about ‘spooky action’ so I did what you sometimes do. And when I asked where and when did he make this statement I found his ‘distance’ was severally limited to the vicinity of the atom’s nucleus.
Relative to this issue I have simply solved, in advanced physical chemistry, the mathematical wave mechanical problem defined by Schrodinger for a hydrogen atom (a proton nucleus and a electron, which he assumed to be a photon instead of the particle it literally was. And to solve some integrals involved he (we)assumed the distance (number) INFINITY.
My point is not the details of Schrodinger’s calculation; it is to ask: why do I not read about this critically important EVENT in the history of our present understanding about matter? For after John Dalton concluded, on the basis of experimental results produced by ALCHEMISTS, that matter was composed of the tiny particles termed atoms, there was no understanding of what atoms might be.
When I read about ‘spooky action’ and I do not read about Schrodinger’s critical contribution, I know I am reading the writing of IGNORANT AUTHORS.
Have a good day, Jerry
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