COVID19: UK Hospital Beds Scam – Update 3

Written by Andy Rowlands on October 29, 2020. Posted in Current News

Here I present an update to my previous article with more quotes from the retired government scientist.

Herewith the first slide with the updated hospital activity data from NHS England. The red line is what HMG are calling an ‘admission’ but down in the data definitions on their coronavirus dashboard under a section called ‘about’ you will find the definition of an admission is an admission proper plus any inpatient who has tested positive.

This doesn’t mean to say these inpatients are infectious or even carrying the virus since the RT-PCR test yields false positive results and cannot tell us anything about infection as a simple Yes/No test result. It should be obvious, but I’ll just point out that inpatients are in hospital for many reasons but protocols dictate they are tested, hence a routine hip operation will become a COVID ‘case’ and count as a COVID admission if they test positive. We should also note that anybody who was infected earlier in the year will still be testing positive, thus a fully recovered person popping in for routine minor surgery will be counted as a COVID admission. The admission statistics produced by HMG are thus clinically meaningless.

Now we understand the data a little better I shall point out that the recent upswing in ‘admissions’ (red line) is largely down to inpatients testing positive (blue line) and not admissions proper (green line).

One more wrinkle in the fabric of understanding the numbers is the fact that re-admissions of the same case are multiply counted, thus a renal patient who was infected back in April for a short while and is now recovered will count as a COVID admission every time they go for dialysis. The same game applies to cancer patients going for radiotherapy and anybody else requiring regular medical care. NHS England are now releasing admissions data dating back to 1st July that removes multiple counting and I will look at this in due course.

Regarding the hidden data wrinkle of counting multiple re-admissions of the same patient and treating these as separate cases, NHS England have fortunately come to the rescue by providing first time admission data from 1st July so we may more accurately assess what is actually going on rather than what HMG claim is going on. In the slide below we get to see the impact of folk regularly returning for dialysis, radiotherapy, physiotherapy and all the rest, who have tested positive at some point.

As I have stated many times before testing positive does not mean a person is infectious, symptomatic or even carrying the SARS-COV-2 virus (false positives) and that a person genuinely infected earlier in the year yet now fully recovered will continue to test positive. Clinically speaking, therefore, a simple Yes/No PCR positive test result is meaningless without a diagnosis by a physician and/or serological testing. Please bear all this in mind when looking at this first slide because none of these admissions may have any epidemiological relevance.

For those who are already getting out their ruler and trying to estimate just how many re-admissions are being counted as admissions I have derived an indicator I’m calling Multi-Admission Bias (MAB), this being the number of reported admissions divided by the number of first time admissions. This is presented in the slide below.

Aside from a couple of extraordinary peaks we see that MAB is trundling along at between a factor of 2.0 and 4.0, meaning admissions figures announced by HMG are being doubled or quadrupled through failure to account for re-admission.

This is quite extraordinary but no longer a surprise, for I have yet to see a single truly honest figure reported to the public. Incidentally, the median MAB for this series is 2.3, so if we halve admission figures issued by HMG we’ll get closer to the truth but even then admissions with COVID are not admissions for COVID, and thus these figures are not necessarily an indication of the general level of infection or sickness across NHS England, as already outlined. (Emphasis added in all paragraphs)

The upshot of this detective work is revealing what appears to be a continuing deliberate effort to mislead the public about how deadly the virus is, and once again, we have to ponder why this is being done.

About the author: Andy Rowlands is a British Principia Scientific International researcher, writer and editor who co-edited the new climate science book, ‘The Sky Dragon Slayers: Victory Lap‘

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