Covid wave this fall could infect 100 million, US warns
The Biden administration is warning the United States could see 100 million coronavirus infections and a potentially significant wave of deaths this fall and winter, driven by new omicron subvariants that have shown a remarkable ability to escape immunity.
The projection, made Friday by a senior administration official during a background briefing as the nation approaches a covid death toll of 1 million, is part of a broader push to boost the nation’s readiness and persuade lawmakers to appropriate billions of dollars to purchase a new tranche of vaccines, tests and therapeutics.
In forecasting 100 million potential infections during a cold-weather wave later this year and early next, the official did not present new data or make a formal projection. Instead, he described the fall and winter wave as a scenario based on a range of outside models of the pandemic.
Those projections assume that omicron and its subvariants will continue to dominate community spread, and there will not be a dramatically different strain of the virus, the official said, acknowledging the pandemic’s course could be altered by many factors.
Several experts agreed that a major wave this fall and winter is possible given waning immunity from vaccines and infections, loosened restrictions and the rise of variants better able to escape immune protections.
Many have warned that the return to more relaxed behaviors, from going maskless to participating in crowded indoor social gatherings, would lead to more infections. The seven-day national average of new infections more than doubled from 29,312 on March 30 to nearly 71,000 Friday, a little more than five weeks later.
“What they’re saying seems reasonable — it’s on the pessimistic side of what we projected in the covid-19 scenario modeling run,” said Justin Lessler, an epidemiologist at University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health. “It’s always hard to predict the future when it comes to covid, but I think we’re at a point now where it’s even harder than normal. Because there’s so much sensitivity, in terms of these long-term trends, to things we don’t understand exactly about the virus and about [human] behavior,” Lessler said.
Another modeler, epidemiologist Ali Mokdad of the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, said in an email Friday that a winter surge is likely. His organization, which has made long-term forecasts despite the many uncertainties, just produced a new forecast that shows a modest bump in cases through the end of May and then a decline until the arrival of winter.
The administration official said the latest forecasts are being shared with lawmakers on Capitol Hill as the White House seeks to restart stalled negotiations over appropriating more funding for the coronavirus response. While the White House had sought $22.5 billion, key Senate lawmakers clinched a bipartisan deal for $10 billion in covid aid last month. But a dispute over the administration’s decision to relax pandemic restrictions at the U.S. border upended swift passage of the deal, which has now languished for weeks.
White House officials have said they’re concerned that a significant portion of the nation’s supply of antivirals and tests will be exhausted as a result of an anticipated increase in cases in the South this summer. Without those tools, they say the country would be unprepared for a fall and winter surge, and deaths and hospitalizations could dramatically increase.
If Congress remains stalled, the official said, the administration would likely pull money that was set aside for more tests and therapeutics to purchase more vaccines — decisions that will leave the country more vulnerable than it should be.
The projected summer wave in the South, which would mirror similar upticks in 2020 and 2021, is particularly concerning because of the region’s lower vaccination and booster rates. While deaths in the Northeast have held steady amid a sharp increase in cases in that region over the last several weeks, the South remains more vulnerable because fewer people have gotten the shots, the official said.
That forecast is echoed by outside experts. “For some reason, we see a seasonality in these peaks. We’re seeing a very high rate of cases in the South during the summer months, possibly because so many people are inside because its so hot there,” said Mercedes Carnethon, epidemiologist at the Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine.
Part of the administration’s challenge in responding to the pandemic is that the virus keeps mutating in ways that have sometimes surprised scientists. Omicron, most notably, emerged in southern Africa with stunning speed in November with a package of mutations and came from a different part of the virus’s family tree than the delta variant it replaced. The origin of omicron remains unknown.
Omicron has since spun off many subvariants that are even more transmissible than the original strain. The BA.2 omicron subvariant continues to account for a majority of new infections in the United States, but the BA.2.12.1 subvariant is rapidly gaining ground and may soon become the most common strain. Meanwhile, two other highly transmissible variants, BA.4 and BA.5, have fueled a recent surge in infections in South Africa.
“Predicting new variants that are going to spill out — that’s total guesswork,” said Jeffrey Shaman, an epidemiologist at Columbia University. “Predicting that they’re going to be successful, that’s guesswork as well.”
Another big unknown that might affect the size and severity of another wave is whether there will be more effective vaccines available by fall. Both Pfizer and Moderna are working on new booster shots that combine different versions of the coronavirus to protect against variants, but it remains unclear whether they will be more effective than existing vaccines.
Administration officials said they hope they will be able to distribute such boosters in the fall, particularly to the elderly and those most at risk of severe infection and death.
Natalie Dean, a biostatistician at Emory University, said the longer the time period between coronavirus waves, the greater the number of people who will be vulnerable to infection because of waning immunity.
“That just puts vulnerable people back at risk,” Dean said. “It seems likely there will continue to be these ups and downs.”
See more here: msn.com
Bold emphasis added
Header image: Al Jezeera
Editor’s note: It is easy to predict such numbers when the indications are this is exactly what is intended to happen. They must keep the public in a constant state of fear.
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Ken Hughes
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I’ll take my chances.
‘Better to live free and at risk, than “safe” as a slave.
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Saeed Qureshi
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There is no scientifically valid test available to monitor the virus or its illness. Hence all the assumptions and predictions are null and void.
https://bioanalyticx.com/video-virus-covid-pandemic-vaccine-and-testing-fiction-not-reality-or-science/
https://bioanalyticx.com/covid-19-open-letter-to-physicians-pharmacists-and-laboratory-managers/
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Mark Tapley
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There is no question that another wave of the non existent virus will hit many goyim this year. Another wave of stupidity.
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gerald brennan
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Wow. What trash.
* The Biden Administration is not a truth-telling organization.
* The ‘modelers’ are always wrong.
* It’s an axiom in epidemiology that mutated viruses transmit more easily and are less lethal with every generation. So who cares.
* The test for SARS-CoV-2 cannot distinguish between that virus and Influenza-A, Influenza-B, or many other common coronaviruses.
* None of which have been isolated, purified, or sequenced. ‘In silica’ is, by definition, a computerized guess of the true sequence. And there are hundreds of these and no way to verify.
Like I said. Trash article.
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T. C. Clark
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Covid? The correct name is Wuhan virus and that is a hint as to the origin.
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Mar Tapley
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Hello T.C.
The Rockefeller documents from 2012 stated that the “virus” would originate in China. As it did in the 2011 movie “Contagion.” The Zionists always tell us what is coming. Now they are tightening the vise as the goyim are being herded into the long planned Agenda 21:
https://rumble.com/vauahd-100-proof-covid-19-was-planned-years-in-advance-truthiverse-episode-14-with.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wuOxG-rnj30
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Alcheminister
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“The Zionists always tell us what is coming.”
Not quite true. “freemasons” project forms of hypnosis to manifest, based on your belief, what is suggested.
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Alcheminister
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The real name is uhm…BS. Coz covid is merely belief in BS.
Any projection of where “covid is from” is a deflection from addressing the fundamentals, in a hegelian dialectic, to perpetuate enabling fundamental fraud. Coz covid doesn’t fucking exist, except in your mind, as a belief.
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Alcheminister
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Oh, btw, the bible is the template for belief in covid.
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Alcheminister
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Here’s a preempted elaboration of that…
Abrahamism’s newest branch Is to be slandered into oblivion
So, let’s take a look at religious institution.
Christianity, Islam, Judaism and Virology.
They demand the worship of institutional constructs. To live and love by their rules. To fear their mythology, which is political. Jesus is a great template for subjugating purposes. The parallels to state are obvious. Capitulation is the word.
In virology, all manner of nonsense is elevated by the illiterati and irrational, preached as if it is gospel truth, by “men” speaking in tongues. And you praise them for their convoluted detachment from reason and reality, you mask and kneel, performing their desired rituals which invariably degenerate you. You clamour for and accept their “special injections” repeatedly. To them, faggotry is a requirement for acceptance.
And if someone dares question, you, the virus believer, whose mind has been infected with horseshit by them having shoved their cocks so far up your asses that their one semi-viable spermcell has replaced your brain, become militant about it. Because your lives are empty and meaningless, like your mind, the virus is the God in your life, and the vaccine your Jesus. So you sleep in the bed they made for you, far too soft a bed, yet tainted with toxins in medications, vaccinations, which you eat as if it is the only food that could sustain you.
You inherit ideals, tenets, principles because you have delegated your capacity for thought and surrendered your will. You are now a zombiedronerobosheepclone, without individual ethical or moral judgment. You have been incorporated. You do not even grasp that protocol is inherently failure, due to that homogenization, homogenization coupled with stagnation and being the bane of creation. You have become a deathcultist, destroyer of the Earth.
And the lukewarm, the poor, imbecilic lukewarm. Those who know things are wrong, who can see the travesty, but they let shit slide right along down with them, into the abyss, because it’s convenient. It’s comforting to know that, at least, you’re not the only one being led astray, isn’t it? No big deal, right?
So you fail to address the fraud, you do not speak out, you do not criticize, you allow the fundamentals that enable the fraud, and those who use those fundamentals for exploitation and malice. An example might be, every one of you absolute CRETINS that support stupid souled out asswits like Robert Malone, or fail to call him out for what he is, treating him as if he is some kind of Jesus, a saviour, an ethical, intelligent and reasonable man. Even if not, there are people who do not want to confront that aspect.
But herein lies the truth, neither he nor Jesus is your saviour, you are. Why are you delegating your duty to yourself away, compromising based on “belonging”, and “belonging” to that which isn’t even true? Malone is, like every preacher, an institutional charlatan who sold his soul. The same sort of charlatan who supports the means, the tools, the scripture that allowed for “covid”. All of it false and malicious. And you, yet again, elevate and support totalitarians and fraud, because you seem to equate institutional paper credentials with truth and honesty when it so clearly is only certification of indoctrination.
Do you think that without addressing the fundamentals of that fraud, there will somehow not be more “covids”? Have you heard of the slippery slope, you enthusiast you? You are delusional. With your belief and support or even passive acceptance, what is to stop them from making even worse vaccines, worse impositional measures? Are you willing to wear a gimp suit and a gag now? Or should that be mandated?
If there is anything I have learned about religion, it is that institution is what is worshiped by the common believer, not the notion of God (which I happen to kinda believe in, but certainly not in the sense found in any book).
What’s the difference between reading a virology textbook and the bible? One of them is only about 99% bullshit.
Wake up, would you please? Virology is entirely bullshit, every aspect of it is backwards, fraudulent shit for degenerate and malicious purposes. If you want to try and discuss or argue that with me, you are free to try, but I will fucking smack you for your insolence.
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Howdy
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” not the notion of God (which I happen to kinda believe in, but certainly not in the sense found in any book).”
You saved yourself a heap of trouble with that statement Osiris.
richard
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getting ready for lockdown during the midterms.
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Alcheminister
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So you’re trying to project the suggestion of, essentially, based on belief wanting to be locked down? You allow them to overpower you.
Your problem.
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Alcheminister
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Personally, I’m almost ready to bitchslap the world into oblivion.
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Tom
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what a crock of crappola. Rephrase that to 100 million might get the regular seasonal flu. But that is hardly likely.
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Alcheminister
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If covid is interchangeable with flu and it’s also a virus with surprisingly similar methodology, history of fraud etc associated and obviously ignored causative factors…and covid is fraud…hey wait a minute, that means flu is fraud too (because it is, just like every other supposed causative “virus”).
So instead of calling it seasonal flu, I would call it seasonal bad health because of deficiencies, various toxicities and excessive stressors.
I think what the meant was “There might be 100 million absolutely BS based on 100% fraud classifications of your entire health status as being a binary result which cannot be justified whatsoever and has been show repeatedly to worthless”.
That is of course, depending on how many zombiedronerobosheepclones there still are.
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Kris Schaefer
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Ah, yes, the midterm varient.
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Alcheminister
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That’s typical for a sentimental “virus” which adheres to borders, politics and democracy…and…all supposed quadrillions of them, which are constantly changing (as they are themselves morphological results) mutating at the same time…based on what the media or “science” suggests. Seems legit.
Now if only someone would consider how completely reasonable, believable and realistic that is.
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Alcheminister
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I mean, the phantom “virus” particles even know that literally 1cm difference between being in a shop, and outside of a shop with mask requirements…is like an impenetrable barrier.
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karlito
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lol, but of course, you can get as many ‘infected’ as you wish with the PCR fake crap…
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charles zilich
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well of course seasonal flu pathogen with multivexxed low resistance AIDS people.
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