12 Years to Disaster? How Climate Activists Distort the Evidence
Many officials and climate activists claim we have only 12 years to act on global warming. Where does this figure come from? A 2018 Special Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
The second sentence of that document reads, “Global warming is likely to reach 1.5 degrees C between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase at the current rate.” The 12-year figure comes from subtracting the year of the report, 2018, from the earliest possible date of 1.5 degrees C warming, 2030. The problem is that this was a statement about the past, dressed up to suggest that it’s about the future. It’s not about what will happen; it’s extrapolating from what has already happened.
Actual temperatures in 2030 will depend on whether warming speeds up or slows down, and also on whether the year is warmer or colder than the long-term trend. Why the 22-year range? The authors of the IPCC report defined the current rate using data from 1960 to 2017. Using the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) land-ocean temperature series that underpins most popular reporting about warming, global excess temperatures were 0 in January 1960 and 0.94 degrees C in December 2017.
So the Earth has to warm another 0.56 degrees C to reach 1.5 degrees C. Some fifth-grade math tells us that should happen in 34.55 years if warming continues at the same rate. We’d hit 1.5 degrees C on July 21, 2051. Different measurements might give a couple of years either way, but not 22 years.
Source: YouTube
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Kevin Doyle
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All one needs to understand about ‘climate science’ comes from one man at one institution.
NASA Goddard Laboratory is not a place where actual rocket science is performed and practiced. Rather, it is an adjunct ‘environmental science’ classroom at Columbia University in New York City. Those of you unfamiliar,Columbia is a Marxist-whacko school of indoctrination.
Goddard Laboratory was given status decades ago by sleazy leftist politicians, like Al Gore, in order to promote the phony science of ‘Greenhouse Gas Theory’.
“If it comes from NASA, then it must be true!”
The chief proponent of the garbage ‘Greenhouse Gas Theory’ is former NASA official, Jim Hansen. In the late 1960’s, Hansen wrote his nonsense PhD thesis on the ‘theory’ that CO2 was warming the planet. Both he and his academic advisors are technically illiterate on the subject of basic Thermodynamics, thus this garbage/junk science spread.
If any of these intellectually lazy folks bothered to look at reality, then they would realize all Greenhouse Gases have one thing in common: They all COOL the planet.
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