Study: No Correlation Between Atmospheric CO2 & ‘Fossil Fuel’ Emissions
A key claim of man-made global warming theory is that there is a direct link between annual ‘fossil fuel’ emissions and annual changes in atmospheric CO2. But a new study, relying solely on government data, disproves this.
The clear-cut findings are detailed in ‘RESPONSIVENESS OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 TO FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS: UPDATED‘ (author: Jamal Munshi PhD). The full PDF may be downloaded at greatclimatedebate.com.
ABSTRACT:
The IPCC carbon budget concludes that changes in atmospheric CO2 are driven by fossil fuel emissions on a year by year basis. A testable implication of the validity of this carbon budget is that changes in atmospheric CO2 should be correlated with fossil fuel emissions at an annual time scale net of long term trends. A test of this relationship with insitu CO2 data from Mauna Loa 19582016 and flask CO2 data from twenty three stations around the world 19672015 is presented. The test fails to show that annual changes in atmospheric CO2 levels can be attributed to annual emissions. The finding is consistent with prior studies that found no evidence to relate the rate of warming to emissions and they imply that the IPCC carbon budget is flawed possibly because of insufficient attention to uncertainty, excessive reliance on net flows, and the use of circular reasoning that subsumes a role for fossil fuel emissions in the observed increase in atmospheric CO2.1
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4. CONCLUSIONS
A key relationship in the theory of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is that between annual fossil fuel emissions and annual changes in atmospheric CO2. The proposed causation sequence is that annual fossil fuel emissions cause annual changes in atmospheric CO2 which in turn intensifies the atmosphere’s heat trapping property. It is concluded that global warming is due to changes in atmospheric composition attributed to human activity and is therefore a human creation and that therefore we must reduce or eliminate fossil fuel emissions to avoid climate catastrophe (Parmesan, 2003) (Stern, 2007) (IPCC, 2014) (Flannery, 2006) (Allen, 2009) (Gillett, 2013) (Meinshausen, 2009) (Canadell, 2007) (Solomon, 2009) (Stocker, 2013) (Rogelj, 2016).
A testable implication of the proposed causation sequence is that annual changes in atmospheric CO2 must be related to annual fossil fuel emissions at an annual time scale. This work is a test of this hypothesis. We find that detrended correlation analysis of annual emissions and annual changes in atmospheric CO2 does not support the anthropogenic global warming hypothesis because no evidence is found that changes in atmospheric CO2 are related to fossil fuel emissions at an annual time scale.
Full paper and PDF download at:
https://greatclimatedebate.com/responsiveness-of-atmospher…/
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Bevan Dockery
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My analysis of UAH satellite lower troposphere temperature data and CO2 concentration data from a number of sites around the globe led me to the conclusions that
1. Temperature is independent of CO2 concentration.
2. Temperature directly or indirectly determines the rate of change of CO2.
3. The seasonal variation in CO2 shows that most of the atmospheric CO2 is generated by terrestrial life forms.
4. Fourier spectra of both temperature and rate of change of CO2 are similar and may indicate that the ever-changing configuration of the Solar System is the cause of temperature and climate change with no indication of any anthropogenic cause.
See: https://www.climateauditor.com
In looking for an explanation of difference in my conclusions relative to those of the UN IPCC, I realised that the IPCC attribute the supposed warming to atmospheric CO2 which both absorbs and re-radiates infrared at wavelengths of 15 and 4.3 microns. The Wien formula relating wavelength to temperature determines that the 15 micron wavelength is the peak for a body at -80 degrees Celsius while the 4.3 micron wavelength is the peak for a body at 400 degrees Celsius. Hence the so-called greenhouse effect is untenable.
The Earth is not going to be warmed by heat from a source at -80 degrees C as it is already hotter than that. Furthermore the Earth does not radiate at 400 degrees C so there is no radiation for the CO2 4.3 micron band to absorb and re-emit. That is, there is no greenhouse effect. The temperature at the Earth’s surface is purely a result of the old-fashioned Universal Gas Laws.
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Bevan Dockery
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To be more exact for my above comment, applying Planck’s formula to an Earth at 15 deg C gives the proportion of energy density in the CO2 4.3 micron band, width 0.5 microns, to be 0.003 of the total energy density. Only part of this will be captured by CO2, only part of that will be re-radiated towards the Earth’s surface and only part might reach the surface to cause heating of what would appear to be an insignificant amount.
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burns matkin
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Thank you for the comments, although I can just barely grasp exactly what you’re saying, may I add that as an arborist any increase in CO2 seems to be “consumed” by plants very rapidly as they are “starved” at 400ppm. 6% growth per year in the biomass is not peanuts.
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foliehatt
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Though peanuts make up a fraction of that 6%
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