Shock Study: CO2 Climate Theory Exposed During COVID Lockdown
The paper ‘Atmospheric Temperature and CO2: Hen-or-Egg Causality? (Version 1)‘ was prompted by observation of an unexpected real-world experiment that contradicts a key claim of the greenhouse gas theory. During the Covid-19 lockdown in 2020, despite unprecedented decrease in human carbon emissions (Figure 1), there was increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration, which followed a pattern strikingly similar to previous years (Figure 2).
Figure 1: Shows massive drop in human emissions of CO2 in 2020
Figure 2 Atmospheric CO2 concentration measured in Mauna Loa, Hawaii, USA, in the last four years.
Figure 2 shows CO2 levels for 2020 in lockstep with previous years despite a 17 percent fall in human emissions during lockdown.
The consensus greenhouse gas theory tells us that rising human emissions of carbon dioxide are dangerously warming the planet and must be reduced. But the ‘lockdown’ data proves that despite a massive cut in emissions, CO2 levels maintained their monotonous, slow and steady increase.
If the UN consensus greenhouse theory is correct, then such a drastic drop in human emissions should impact overall atmospheric levels. It didn’t
As the authors, Demetris Koutsoyiannis & Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, state:
“Indeed, according to the IEA [1], global CO2 emissions were over 5% lower in the first quarter of 2020 than in that of 2019, mainly due to an 8% decline in emissions from coal, 4.5% from oil and 2.3% from natural gas. According to other estimates [2], the decrease is even higher: the daily global CO2 emissions decreased by 17% by early April 2020 compared with the mean 2019 levels, while for the whole 2020 a decrease between 4% and 7% is predicted. Despite that, as seen in Figure 2, the normal pattern of atmospheric CO2 concentration (increase until May and decrease in June and July) did not change.”
The authors discuss the proven long-term relationship between temperature and CO2 concentration from the geological record:
“by revisiting intriguing results from proxy data-based palaeoclimatic studies, where change in temperature leads and change in CO2 concentration follows. Next, we discuss the data bases of modern (instrumental) measurements, related to global temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration, and introduce a methodology to analyse them.”
“While logical, physically based arguments support the “hen-or-egg” hypothesis, indicating that both causality directions exist, interpretation of cross-correlations of time series of global temperature and atmospheric CO2 suggests that the dominant direction is T → CO2, i.e., change in temperature leads and change in CO2 concentration follows.”
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About the author: John O’Sullivan John is CEO and co-founder (with Dr Tim Ball) of Principia Scientific International (PSI). John is a seasoned science writer and legal analyst who assisted Dr Ball in defeating world leading climate expert, Michael ‘hockey stick’ Mann in the ‘science trial of the century‘. O’Sullivan is credited as the visionary who formed the original ‘Slayers’ group of scientists in 2010 who then collaborated in creating the world’s first full-volume debunk of the greenhouse gas theory plus their new follow-up book.
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Zoe Phin
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GHGs reduce external outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). To have the same OLR as before (but with more GHGs), the temperature NEEDS to go up.
This NEED is then imagined to conjure itself.
If you want to jump higher, just lift yourself by your bootstraps. Problem solved.
Climate psyentists seem content with balancing equations ignorant of the fact that they create energy out of nothing to solve these equations.
There is no need to balance anything. More GHGs will simply make the Earth appear colder from space.
It is temperature that regulates how much gases escape from [sub]surface to the atmosphere (gas-sphere).
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Albert Ellul
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Climate psyentists, or climythologists.
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Barry
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Good article but nothing really new temp always leads co2 by hundred to thousands of years. The problem is that the general public believe the exact opposite as the left have drilled this into them for forty years now. As we get a little older we understand that govt only control over the masses is fear,and they with the help of msm do a great job of this. I’m 62 now and was suppose to be living under a 1000 feet of ice now here on the west coast of Canada as per the consensus of the 70s but guess what the temp really hasn’t changed noticeably.
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Andy Rowlands
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Well said Barry.
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Andy Rowlands
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Nice article John. The other point to mention is that with the large reduction in human-produced CO2 this year having no effect on the oveall amount, mainly because our CO2 contribution is just 3% of the total going into the atmosphere every year, if CO2 really did drive temperature, then we should have expected the planet to cool.
Some parts have been cooler than usual, and some parts have been warmer than usual, but that is because of the solar minimum making the Jet Stream undulate, allowing cold air much further south than usual (particularly over North America), and warm air much further north than usual (hence the unusually mild winter across the UK and much of Europe), and nothing to do with CO2.
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Barry
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So true Andy we had a bit of a cool summer here in BC with very few forest fires. But of coarse California was on fire this fall so the msm blame that on climate change. People have to quit confusing changing wx with climate that may cycle over decades or centuries.
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Dean Michael Jackson
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“The consensus greenhouse gas theory tells us that rising human emissions of carbon dioxide are dangerously warming the planet and must be reduced. But the ‘lockdown’ data proves that despite a massive cut in emissions, CO2 levels maintained their monotonous, slow and steady increase.”
Of course, because man-made surfaces are still increasing, which (1) retain greater heat than the natural soil; and (2) decreases the nighttime cooling effect of soil evapotranspiration, akin to sweat cooling our bodies.
Greater than 94% of the energy contained within nitrogen and oxygen are unaccounted for by the ‘climate change’ narrative, informing us of the massive scientific fraud taking place, the purpose of the fraud to further weaken the West’s economies.
[On March 16 Trump directed the nation to stay home for 15 days(!), his Marxist economic sabotage directive still in play. Immediately following Trump’s directive, governors/mayors declared illegal Executive Orders to lockdown the nation, thereby proving Marxist coordination between Federal/State/Local governments.
No new investments will be taking place because investments require recouping the investments, and with the spectre of the fake COVID-19 returning, or equally fake new pandemics, future lockdowns are in the future, therefore no investments are on the horizon. In short, the United States has been turned into a Banana Republic overnight.]
Nitrogen and oxygen constitute, by volume, 99.03% of the atmosphere’s gasses, while the trace gases account for 0.97%, or just under 1% of the atmosphere’s gasses. If we include water vapor (H2O) in the atmosphere, which accounts for, on average, 2% of the atmosphere’s gases by volume, we therefore subtract this 2% from the atmosphere’s gasses, where nitrogen and oxygen will constitute 97.0494%, and the trace gasses will constitute 0.9506%.
Nitrogen and oxygen don’t absorb much infrared radiation (IR) emitted from the ground, and assuming they absorb 100% of thermal energy from the surface, constituting approximately 5% of Earth’s energy budget, we’re left with a massive energy deficit for nitrogen and oxygen, confirming that those two molecules derive their energy from thermal ground/ocean emissions instead, but since the ‘climate change’ narrative identifies such emissions as not thermal but IR, we have proof that the energy being emitted isn’t IR but thermal because nitrogen and oxygen absorb a miniscule amount of IR.
Nitrogen and oxygen obtain 5.1% of their heat energy from thermal energy emanating from the surface…
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/bb/The-NASA-Earth%27s-Energy-Budget-Poster-Radiant-Energy-System-satellite-infrared-radiation-fluxes.jpg/1200px-The-NASA-Earth%27s-Energy-Budget-Poster-Radiant-Energy-System-satellite-infrared-radiation-fluxes.jpg
Google: NASA earth’s energy budget graph pictures
…and another .078% of their heat energy from outgoing infrared radiation, leaving an energy deficit of approximately 94.8%.
Since nitrogen and oxygen constitute by volume 97.0494% of the atmosphere’s gasses (when water vapor is included in the calculations making for a more precise calculation), they must therefore retain that volume amount of heat energy, but 18.4 Wm2 only constitutes 5.1% of the Earth’s energy budget of 358.2 Wm2. Nitrogen and oxygen’s absorption of infrared radiation only infinitesimally affects this missing heat energy.
The missing energy levels for nitrogen and oxygen direct our attention to another aspect of the scientific fraud taking place: Misidentified outgoing energy types. IR is assigned an energy magnitude of 358.2 Wm2, and thermals 18.4 Wm2. The opposite is closer to the truth, where IR is assigned 18.4 Wm2, and thermals 358.2 Wm2.
Hence why:
THERMODYNAMICS IS AWOL
Climate change mechanics conspires to do away with the physics of the atmosphere, where action and reaction is abandoned. When a new gas molecule is introduced into the dense troposphere, dislocation takes place, where if the new molecule is denser than the atmosphere (contains less heat energy), such as carbon dioxide, the gas molecule sinks displacing upwards the warmer nitrogen and oxygen molecules, thereby cooling the area of dislocation. Conversely, if the new gas molecule has more heat energy than the nitrogen-oxygen based atmosphere (such as methane), the new molecule rises, displacing relatively cooler nitrogen and oxygen molecules downwards, which displaces upwards relatively more heat retaining nitrogen and oxygen molecules, thereby cooling the area of dislocation. Thermodynamics in action in the atmosphere that keeps the Earth cool when increased radiation isn’t the new variable introduced.
At my blog, bead the articles…
‘House of Cards: The Collapse of the ‘Collapse’ of the USSR’
‘Playing Hide And Seek In Yugoslavia’
Then read the article, ‘The Marxist Co-Option Of History And The Use Of The Scissors Strategy To Manipulate History Towards The Goal Of Marxist Liberation’
Solution
The West will form new political parties where candidates are vetted for Marxist ideology/blackmail, the use of the polygraph to be an important tool for such vetting. Then the West can finally liberate the globe of vanguard Communism.
My blog…
https://djdnotice.blogspot.com/2018/09/d-notice-articles-article-55-7418.html
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Albert Ellul
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The hydrosphere and atmosphere combined hold 38,000 Gt of Carbon equivalent of CO2, always, continuously, without fail and this is an indisputable scientific fact.
The current value of anthropogenic CO2 emissions counted in Carbon equivalent is 10 Gt every YEAR, which means 0.0274.Gt/day, or 0.00114/hour or 0.000019Gt/minute. This CO2 is being emitted continuously while being gobbled up by the hungry carbon sinks, vegetation, which loves it so much and which thrives on CO2.
As one can see, the human contribution of CO2, compared to the combined Earth system, that is the hydrosphere and atmosphere, which are both in direct interaction swapping CO2 molecules continuously to keep the balance between the two according to science laws especially Henry’s Law, the human contribution of CO2 is less than insignificant.
I just cannot understand why this simple fact is not brought up to top of the list in the climate discussion.
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Marcel
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So lets do some math. The rise in CO2 levels from 2000 to 2020 is going from 370ppm to 415ppm so an increase of 45ppm over 20 years or 2.25ppm/year.
Now according to the paper you sited the drop in CO2 emissions is anywhere from 5 to 17% so I’ll be generous and round that up to 20%. That is a big drop.
So what we would expect to see is a 20% drop from the yearly 2.25ppm increase which is 0.45ppm less than what we would otherwise have.
No explain to me how you can possibly see that drop in the graph you sited??????????????
Looking at July the graph shows about 414.2ppm (?) so without the covid situation it would have been 414.65ppm and that is with very generous figures.
You can’t see that on that graph……
The drop in CO2 emissions for part of the year is simply to small to detect against the background noise. You need a multi year, significant drop before it becomes apparent.
There you go. Now you can go back to pretend that you uncovered something that scientist somehow missed.
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