Russia’s Superior Military Technology Ensures Ukraine’s Ultimate Defeat
Cometh the Hammer – the Final Battles of the Russo-Ukrainian War
Donetsk Oblast spans 26,517 square kilometres. (For comparison: Maryland covers 25,142 sq. k.; Wales encompasses 20,789 sq. k.; and Vancouver Island: 31,285.)
In 2014 Donetsk separatists joined their northern comrades in Luhansk Oblast in declaring independence from Kyiv. The ensuing 5-month war yielded a 450-kilometre “Line of Contact” severing western Donetsk Oblast from its capitol. Ukraine’s army held western Donetsk at the current war’s outset, February 24, 2022.
Prior to February 24 both Ukraine and Russia poured troops and equipment into this theatre. Ukraine positioned half its 200,000-strong ground force along this eastern front.
The anticipated headlong Russian charge across the old scrimmage line never materialized. A full frontal assault would have wrought massive casualties because the Ukrainians spent several years concretizing firing positions and sowing minefields west of the Line of Contact.
Instead, the Russians sent divisions through Crimea and Belarus to threaten Kyiv, Kharkiv and Odessa. This was diversion. Overrunning Kyiv would have spelled even greater casualties. The Russians sought to neither storm, nor encircle, these cities. Threatening these cities sufficed to paralyze Ukraine’s high command and freeze Ukrainian assets in place.
February 24: sixty thousand of Ukraine’s best-trained, best-equipped troops burrow into the Line of Contact’s western vistas.
April 4: these forces remain in place without having seen combat.
Russia’s air force, navy and drone warriors chip away at Ukraine’s military infrastructure and equipment. Russia claims to have destroyed 4,000 military vehicles and 800 artillery pieces. Much of this carnage occurred amidst ground-fighting in Mariupol, but Ukraine’s Donetsk contingent has not been spared missile and drone attacks. Blasted warehouses have not been re-stocked.
Donetsk’s second largest city, Mariupol (pre-war population 450,000), laying west of the Line of Conflict, fell under the control of a quasi-rogue yet de facto southern command centre for Ukraine’s eastern operations.
On March 7, the Russians surrounded Mariupol, trapping 15,000 Ukrainian soldiers. By April 1, 4,000 Ukrainians occupied tunnels beneath three pockets of Mariupolian rubble. Clearing operations on these rabbits’ warrens began April 2. Downtown was cleared in two days. The Russians recently downed three helicopters dispatched to rescue Ukrainian field commanders.
As the Battle of Mariupol winds down, Russia concentrates on Donetsk.
Luhansk Oblast is 90 percent Russian-controlled. Fighting rages in the last 2,500 sq. k. of contested Luhansk territory.
Donetsk Oblast remains 45 percent (12,500 sq. k.) Ukrainian territory.
Final battles will be chiefly cannonades with the Russians possessing overwhelming artillery superiority. The battles will be an opportunity for Russia’s military-industrial-complex to showcase their wares.
These would include the “Msta” – a heavily armoured self-contained howitzer impervious to all but direct anti-armour ordnance strikes. Mstas cruise at 60 kph. They fire 45-kilo fragmentation bombs at a rate of ten per minute. Rocket-assist projectiles hit targets 28 kilometres away. (Russia owns 1,100 Mstas.)
The impending conflagrations will debut the latest 2S7 Malka upgrade – the world’s largest mobile artillery weapon – capable of firing 100-kilo projectiles to distances of 47 kilometres.
Ukraine will counter these Malkas and Mstas with a depleted inventory of unarmoured, non-rocket-assisted, truck-towed, 1970s-era field-guns.
Another Russian armoured artillery vehicle, the TOS-1A, shares the Msta’s mobility. The TOS-1A is a multiple rocket launcher capable of lobbing 24 thermobaric bombs, in 1.5 seconds, to distances of 9 kilometres. Thermobaric bombs spray, and then ignite, mist-clouds of fuel. A single full TOS-1A volley inflicts a “zone of annihilation” slightly larger than a professional football pitch. TOS-1As target troops in foxholes and trenches.
Air superiority gives the Russians micro-detailed, up-to-the-second arial panoramas of all battle-fields. Gunnery sergeants receive actionable targeting intel at the speed of light.
Scurrying like blind mice, the Ukrainians will not hold a square metre of open-field Donetsk.
Readily available civilian cover consists of a 20-kilometre by 60-kilometre banana-shaped strip of north-west Donetsk running from Sloviansk (pre-war pop 115,000), south through Kramatorsk (200,000), to Konstiantynovka (75,000).
The Russians recently captured Izium, fifty kilometres northwest of Sloviansk, blocking the road to Kharkiv. Russian forces north of Mariupol encroach upon Konstiantynovka’s environs. Further southwest, Melitopol, has been a Russian hub a month. Ukraine’s eastern forces lay wide open to attacks from the west.
Civilian populations in these potential redoubts, reduced by exodus, do not offer much human shield potential. Moreover, Ukraine’s professional field commanders seem disinclined to implement the pathological human shield strategy deployed by Mariupol’s zealots. They will surrender in a fortnight.
Header image: the Russian 203mm 2S7 Malka artillery cannon. Reddit
Editor’s note: The Malka is similar to the American M110 howitzer, which also had a 203mm diameter barrel. The M110’s were introduced in 1963 and retired in 1994, although they continue in the inventory of various nations.
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Allan Shelton
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Quote from above……. ” They will surrender in a fortnight.”
IMO I do not agree with your analysis, because it is such a complicated situation.
Multiple varying events are possible and very likely.
You may be correct.
I am waiting for a “fortnight”.
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Allan Shelton
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This is one thing that maybe was not covered in the analysis….
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-training-ukrainian-troops-switchblade-kamikaze-drones
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Mark Tapley
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Hello Shelton:
Still drinking the Zionist kool aid huh. Here’s more MSM video of the fake war in the Ukraine:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/bapiUFPeOhPB/
And here is who owns the Zionist rag Zerohedge:
“The Central Intelligence Agency owns everyone of any significance in the major media.” Quote by CIA director William Colby.
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Allan Shelton
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Thanks Mark…
Do you have a biblical quote to back that up?
Thanks
Al
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Mark Tapley
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Hi Shelton:
John 8:44
Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do. He was a murderer from the beginning, and abode not in the truth, because there is no truth in him. When he speaketh a lie, he speaketh of his own: for he is a liar, and the father of it.
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Herb Rose
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Russia had a far superior weaponry edge when they invaded Afghanistan. That didn’t work out well for them..
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Zoe Phin
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They didn’t have millions of ethnic Russians already in Afghanistan. Afghanistan was also very isolated, with 1 railroad and a handful of roads going in.
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Mark Tapley
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Hello Zoe:
Actually, the Afghanis were culturally very similar to many of the non European Russian troops. Russia has always been mostly a lot more bark than bite. The entire Soviet Union was really just a construct of the Zionist Hegelian dialectic. It is only because of massive continuous agricultural, financial and technological aid (in 5 year programs) that the whole facade was kept from falling apart for so long. The present fake war in Ukraine is merely a diversion for the goyim in order distract them away from the fake virus trucker protests and the injuries and deaths from the fake “vaccine.” Both sides are firmly under the lion’s paw of Zionist control, and have been for many decades. As to Russian prowess, I refer you to Professor Anthony Sutton of Stanford University’s Hoover Institution:
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Eric the Red
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Finally, a good military analysis based on recent historical events an cultural context.
Does the author have a Telegram channel?
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lloyd
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Andy, you are assuming everything in the media is false. I have contacts in Ukraine. The Russians are far from all-powerful. I have film form the front lines. I think you are afraid to stand up to Putin. Sad.
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Mark Tapley
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Hello Lloyd:
The Russians and Ukrainian governments are both carrying on the Zionist psyop. just like all the countries were co opted into jumping on the fake virus wagon at the flip of a switch. And had all bought their fake PCR tests back in 2018, long before that fake virus switch was flipped on. Has everyone forgotten the contrived conflict in Viet Nam in which the worlds biggest economy and most powerful military, spending 50 billion per year in 1965 dollars! could not defeat a rag tag bunch of rebels in a country the size of Missouri. That is totally preposterous. The U.S. was in fact supplying all the trucks (Ford Motor Co.) used to supply the N,. Vietnamese from the Kama River factory we built for the Soviets and we even provided the needed engines for transport ships into their harbor. All the time the average simp in this country never figured out that (as well as all the rest of them) the whole thing was rigged from start to finish just as this convenient fake now being played out in Ukraine., I makes no difference as to the relative strength of the two fake opponents just as in a fake wrestling match. It is all controlled just as surely as your fake virus and 911. When are you people going to figure this out?
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Herb Rose
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Hi Mark,
You are completely delusional. Everything that happens is either fake or a Zionist plot. The only thing you believe is the Bible (Why aren’t you observing the Sabbath (Saturday)) and there is a lot in it that is totally unbelievable. Wasn’t everything mentioned in the Old Testament a Zionist plot?
Herb
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Mark Tapley
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Hello Herb:
Your diatribe is really too ridiculous for a response other than to refer to the documented research of Stanford Univ. Hoover Institution Professor Anthony Sutton. Note that the interview liked below was from 1973 and later Sutton explained that at that point (of the book referred to) he still did not understand that the Zionists (globalists) were running the entire operation. It is difficult for many to accept that the Hegelian dialectic tool of war is the Zionists No. 1 method of moving the herd in the fastest way, in the direction desired.
I believe now with the global implementation of the fake virus, fake test and fake “vaccine” the Zionists may have overplayed their hand and that many people are finally waking up. The situation is however in the 11th hour and this criminal syndicate is very far advanced as the other link below points out.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/GNI8dNzJwdRV/
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