My email conversation with Sarah Caul at the UK ONS

Written by Steve Kirsch on December 21, 2023. Posted in Current News

We are about to find out real soon now whether the UK ONS is protecting the pharma companies or the people of Britain

Background

Sarah Caul is the public face for the UK ONS data.

I sent her an email on Dec 4, 2023 asking if she wanted to see the New Zealand record level data.

Her reply

Dear Steve,

I am unable to comment on New Zealand data, I recommend you speak to those who work with the data. I have seen through other communication that you are interested in receiving similar record level data for England.

The data is available as part of the ONS’ Secure Research Service (SRS). Information on the SRS and how people can access this data can be found using this link:

https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/whatwedo/statistics/requestingstatistics/secureresearchservice

Hope this helps

Many thanks

Sarah

My response

Sarah,

Thank you for your response.

1. Regarding the SRS offer, I have chatted with Professor Fenton and Clare Craig, and the problem is that there are so many strings attached with that data. We want to take the ONS data, anonymize it in a way that protects privacy, and make it publicly accessible.

Would such a project be approved? Who can I speak with on the phone about that? That would be more efficient than sending in dozens of proposals and getting them rejected each time. That would take years.

How about we simply work collaboratively on defining a joint project that WOULD be approved since it is jointly designed?

2. Regarding the New Zealand data, it gives you additional insights into the safety of the vaccine. In 5 countries, we see mortality rise after EACH dose. THIS IS UNPRECEDENTED.

The slope in the deaths since dose curve is always negative for any fixed size cohort, not positive. Deaths are always proportional to the # of people available to die, so the slope is always negative unless something highly unusual is going on, like a deadly vaccine.

Having it be positive for a year after the dose is EXTREMELY problematic and your health authorities need to explain it or acknowledge the vaccine is killing people.  Is there another agency which is looking at that and explaining it?

Do you have the contact info for a person? I am not aware of anyone in the world that can explain how this can happen if the vaccine is safe. Are you?

3. Why doesn’t ONS itself make the patient record-level data publicly available just like I did in New Zealand. The technique I used resulted in not a single person finding their record or saying that their privacy was breached.

I am happy to share the technique with you. Even if someone knew everything about a person except for one fact, they wouldn’t be able to find the missing information.

4. Why doesn’t the ONS run the time-series cohort analysis again, but with 5 year age buckets and WEEKLY buckets after a dose is given. So you’d have 100 weekly buckets (instead of the 2 or 3 you use now), and a final bucket for “over 100 weeks”.

This would clearly reveal that the vaccines are killing people. Your current choice of buckets today is far too crude and hides the safety signal. This should be easy and would be just a small parameter change.

If the vaccine is safe, you have nothing to lose and you would reduce vaccine hesitancy. AFAIK, there is no reason you cannot do this. I’m happy to provide you with a python program that would generate the required stats. Let me know.

Finally, I acknowledge your cohort time-series analysis is an excellent way to convey what is going on, but only if you do #4 above.

No other government provides this, so I applaud you for your attempt at transparency and using modern epidemiological techniques.

You are way ahead of any other world government. But doing #4 would complete the effort.

I look forward to your response to my four points. Please cc: the folks on the cc: line.

Thank you.

-steve

Summary

It will be very interesting to see how she responds to my four points.

UK MP Andrew Bridgen was copied on the email. I’m sure the 20+ other MP’s who were in the COVID vaccine safety session we held in Parliament on December 4, 2023 will be interested as well as to how she responds.

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