Lies, Damn Lies and COVID Statistics in Australia
Defining the “vaccinated” as those who have had one or more COVID injections, we show from NSW data that the “vaccinated” had nearly double the COVID mortality risk of the “unvaccinated” in the same period, and they probably had several times more “all causes” mortality risk, when non-COVID causes are included.
“Of those infected with the virus in the past six months, unvaccinated people aged under 49 were 22 times more like to die compared to those who had two or more doses of the vaccine.
For people aged between the age of 50 to 69 the unvaccinated were nearly 37 times more likely to die. While in the oldest age group, the virus was 16 times more fatal for the unvaccinated.”
Such blatant lies are continuations of earlier lies which include “vaccines are 95 percent effective”, “vaccines are safe” and “this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated”. These lies are likely based on shifting definitions of “vaccinated” (different from our simple definition), misleading most Australians who do not challenge establishment “facts” released by governments, which are then broadcast by mainstream media. Australians have inadequate facilities to download raw data to validate facts routinely stated in official reports.
The first inconvenient fact to note is: the Australian COVID-19 “pandemic” was virtually non-existent in 2020, with only 900 COVID deaths in a population of 25.7 million. Along with mass injections since 23 February 2021 of more than 61 million doses, over 68 percent of eligible Australian adults (over 16) are boosted and over 96 percent are double dosed.
For this costly effort, Australian COVID deaths have now surged to over 12,006 as at 3 August 2022, a more than twelvefold increase on 2020.
Somehow, Australian governments cannot see the absurdity of “vaccination” and are still blaming the “unvaccinated”, but are getting away with the lie.
The impact of COVID injections in Australia on mortality can be seen empirically by the functional relationship between total doses administered and total COVID deaths, as shown in the following chart where the gap in the curve is due to a glitch in delayed reporting in the original data source [3].
The steeply rising part of this curve, in 2022 (right side of the vertical line), comes from more people “vaccinated” with more doses, yet were accompanied by many more deaths. The above unadjusted data show higher rates of injections are associated with higher COVID death rates.
It is clear that COVID injections have failed to reduce deaths even if the harm caused has not yet been proven by the data alone. Are the “unvaccinated” more likely to die? Anything can be proved with manipulated data, depending on the method of calculation and on definitions of “vaccinated” and “unvaccinated”.
There are many confounders for which data adjustments could be made to explain mortality outcomes, such as “age standardization” to adjust for different age distributions, “person-year” to adjust for different periods after injection, “effective dose” to adjust for different numbers of doses needed to be considered “vaccinated”, etc.
Adjustments may lack transparency and could lead to confusion. For example, the “unvaccinated” may be considered in official reports as those with “no effective dose”, defined as those who have not had enough doses (e.g., boosters) in a sufficiently timely fashion (e.g., more than 14 days after injection). Australian reports have unclear methods and definitions, and are variable across health authorities.
For clarity, it is essential in science to have a base-line reference from unadjusted data to replicate results. For a clear calculation, we define the “unvaccinated” simply as those who have never had any COVID injections, while “vaccinated” are defined as those who have had one or more injections, regardless of timing. Mortality risk is simply calculated from cumulative sums of 26 weekly calculated risks.
In the chart below, we use New South Wales (NSW) weekly raw data [4] which provide both population and COVID death data according to dosages; to compare with the ABC statement above, 26-week mortality risks are calculated on a rolling weekly basis.
As a rough check to the calculation, on 18 June 2022, there were 1,783 deaths for 6.34 million “vaccinated” (78 percent) against 284 deaths for 1.83 million “unvaccinated” (22 percent) of the total population. The cross-over of the curves occurred a couple of weeks before roll-out of the fourth dose.
Evidently, the “vaccinated” had nearly double the COVID mortality risk of the ‘unvaccinated”.
This contradicts directly the official claim by the ABC that the “unvaccinated’ are many times more likely to die over the same period examined. Actually, the “vaccinated” face much more than double the mortality risk of the “unvaccinated”, because significant non-COVID mortality risk from “vaccine injuries” (not relevant for the “unvaccinated”) has been studiously ignored by governments.
The impact of non-COVID mortality can be seen, however, in excess mortality from “all causes” (see below).
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the UK has published [5] for England “all causes” mortality data according to “vaccination status”. Using our method and definitions, we have shown [1] that in England the “vaccinated” have a ninefold increase in monthly “all causes” mortality risk compared to the “unvaccinated” in May 2022.
Since the biology of “vaccine injuries” is expected to be universally similar, it is likely that they have similar impact on Australian “all causes” mortality. With mass injections, Australian excess mortality (above 5-year average) from all causes has also climbed rapidly.
According to ABS data [6], in 2020, excess mortality was 1,366, while in 2021, it was 8,517 and already by April 2022, excess mortality was 8,513, nearly equal to all of 2021. The rate of excess mortality in 2022 is running roughly triple that in 2021, indicating a substantial increase in non-COVID-related excess mortality in Australia, even higher than England. In conclusion, COVID mortality risk for the “vaccinated” was nearly double that of the “unvaccinated” in NSW for a recent six-month period.
The comparative “all causes” mortality risk is likely to be much higher due to non-COVID causes. Governments have censored such inconvenient facts and have continued to prefer lies, even when mortality risks from the injections are clearly evident. Their policies, endangering people’s lives by forcing them to be “vaccinated”, are surely crimes to be stopped. Mandating medication has never been acceptable in human history, even now.
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About the author: Dr Wilson Sy of Investment Analytics Research is a PhD in physics. He has several dozen journal publications in physics, finance, economics and biology. His career includes senior research in plasma physics and nuclear fusion, quantitative investment in banking and data analysis in government. His most recent positions were Principal Researcher at the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (“APRA”) and senior adviser to the Australian Treasury. His current specialty is analysis of COVID data.
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