Heat pumps will cost 74% more than gas boilers in cold weather

UK households with heat pumps face much higher energy bills in colder months than those with gas boilers, analysis shows

Labour is offering grants of up to £7,500 to households willing to switch to ‘greener’ heating systems, but experts have warned that the technology’s efficiency plummets in cold weather, driving up bills by 74 percent.

Analysis by the Energy Utilities Alliance (EUA) found that heat pumps cost around £4 more per day to run in sub-zero temperatures than gas boilers.

This is because a heat pump’s “coefficient of performance”, a measure of its efficiency, decreases in cold weather because the system must use more energy to extract warmth from the air.

Costs are driven up even further by the fact that electricity in the UK costs between four and five times as much as gas, due in part to the taxes levied on electricity bills.

The EUA based its calculations on typical household energy usage figures and energy rates under the current price cap, both published by energy regulator Ofgem.

It said that on a typical winter day, the average cost with a gas boiler for heating works out at £4.25. When the temperature drops to below zero, that can increase up to 50 percent, to £6.37. But for a household with a heat pump, a typical day’s worth of heat costs £5.95, based on the current energy price cap.

Mike Foster, of the trade body, said:

“We use a figure of 67 kWh of demand for a ‘typical day’ of what we call the ‘heating season’, which runs from the end of October to the beginning of April.

On colder than average days – and below freezing certainly qualifies – we estimate that demand will increase ‘on average’ by 50pc – so 100 kWh of heat is needed.”

Mr Foster said this equates to a daily cost of £10.36, up 74 percent, compared to a 50 percent increase for gas “because the efficiency of a boiler does not change with colder outside temperatures”.

The Energy Department disputed the EUA’s figures and said that heat pumps were still “two-and-a-half times more efficient than gas boilers at -5C.”

 

It comes after Labour last month ditched plans for an outright ban on new gas boilers despite ‘net zero’ targets.

The previous government had planned to ban the sale of ‘polluting’ boilers from 2035. The policy was initially floated by Boris Johnson and later backed by Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak as part of measures to hit Britain’s ‘green’ targets and drive the switch to heat pumps.

In June, however, Ed Miliband, now the Energy Secretary, said that Labour would first have to prove that green technology is “affordable and going to work for people”.

In a turnaround, households will still be allowed to replace existing boilers with gas ones from 2035.

Heat pump uptake is well below government targets, despite the energy department upping the grant offered to households installing a heat pump from £5,000 to £7,500.

It was hoped the Boiler Upgrade Scheme would help install 50,000 heat pumps between May 2022 and December 2023, but fewer than half that number were installed.

Consumers have been put off by warnings that heat pumps only work in homes with modern insulation, and are ill-suited to older properties.

Heat pumps are powered by electricity and currently used by only one percent of households, according to charity Nesta.

Like all heating systems, they are designed to function at temperatures as cold as -3C, under guidelines set out by the Chartered Institution of Building Services Engineers (CIBSE).

Editor’s note: heat pumps are designed to work down to -3C, so what happens if the temperature drops below that, like in Scotland for example? This suggests they won’t work at all.

But Bean Beanland, of the Heat Pump Federation, suggested CIBSE’s recommendations “may need a review in light of potentially greater seasonal swings in the UK”.

He said homeowners themselves were responsible for selecting a heat pump that “could meet what they want to be able to achieve in their home”.

He added:

“For example, older residents or those with health vulnerabilities, may want higher internal temperatures, say 23C.”

Though heat pumps are typically more expensive to run in the winter months, Mr Beanland said:

“In the shoulder months of the year, spring and autumn, when the air temperature is above, say, 10C, the efficiency of the heat pump is much higher”.

The Energy Department acknowledged the gap in efficiency between heat pumps and gas boilers in a report published in December.

It said the coefficient of performance (Cop), the measure of a heat pump’s efficiency, “reduced as the external temperature also reduced”, and that “this effect was much more significant across the stock of air-source heat pumps when compared with the stock of ground-source heat pumps.”

A government spokesman said:

“We do not recognise these speculative and misleading figures. Heat pumps are three times more efficient than gas boilers on average, and still over two-and-a-half times more efficient at -5C.

We are making them more affordable to more households by providing £7,500 towards the cost, enabling families to save around £100 a year compared to a gas boiler by using a smart tariff effectively.”

See more here telegraph.co.uk

Bold emphasis added

Editor’s note: just because the government does not ‘recognise’ the figures, it doesn’t alter the fact that’s what the figures are, and we know the goal of the ‘net zero’ agenda is to make us poorer and colder. This will lead to increased deaths, which in turn helps the depopulation agenda.

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Comments (3)

  • Avatar

    Howdy

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    From a page on how heat pumps work:
    “The second phase of its journey is a trip through the compressor. The compressor squeezes the refrigerant into a smaller volume, increasing its pressure and boiling point (this will become important in a minute). This also warms it further, so by the time the refrigerant is past the compressor, it’s warmer than the room indoors. ”
    So rather than just a heat pump, it’s a heat generator by virtue of the compressor.
    https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/02/14/1068582/everything-you-need-to-know-about-heat-pumps/

    What I found interesting, is that many heat pump installations need a backup heat source in case it gets too low a temp and the pump can’t hack it. Why do low carbon products allways have to rely on the one thing they are meant to replace? That alone tells the truth of the matter.

    Imagine if the grand solar minimum bites and the pumps won’t be enough…

    Reply

  • Avatar

    John V

    |

    I have a heat pump, and I hate it. But, that’s what install with these homes here in AZ. I had Natural Gas in Illinois and my heating costs were peanuts compared to using a heat pump in the winter. And yes, it gets into the 30s at night here in the desert in December and January.

    Reply

  • Avatar

    Copernicus

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    Transferring heat to and from the outside air is ridiculously inefficient compared to using the earth (ground) as a heat-source/heat-sink, especially in very hot or very cold weather. The ground has much higher heat capacity compared to the air, and maintains a constant temperature year round, unlike the air.

    Reply

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