Electric Vehicles On Collision Course With Reality
Some people, not all of them liberals, think that electric vehicles are the wave of the future, part of an inevitable “green” revolution. But the facts suggest otherwise.
My friend Robert Bryce testified before a House committee yesterday on the subject of electric vehicles. Robert is one of the country’s most knowledgeable experts on energy, and I encourage you to read his entire testimony. Here are some highlights as summarized by him:
* I’m pro-electricity, but I am adamantly opposed to the notion that we should “electrify everything” including transportation.
* EVs are cool. They are not new. The history of EVs is a century of failure tailgating failure. In 1911, the New York Times said that the electric car “has long been recognized as the ideal solution.” In 1990, the California Air Resources Board mandated 10% of car sales be zero-emission vehicles by 2003. Today, 31 years later, only about 6% of the cars in California have an electric plug.
* The average household income for EV buyers is about $140,000. That’s roughly two times the U.S. average. And yet, federal EV tax credits force low- and middle-income taxpayers to subsidize the Benz and Beemer crowd.
* Lower-income Americans are facing huge electric rate increases for grid upgrades to accommodate EVs even though they will probably never own one.
* This month, the California Energy Commission estimated the state will need 1.3 million new public EV chargers by 2030. The likely cost to ratepayers: about $13 billion.
* Meanwhile, blackouts are almost certain this summer and electricity prices are “absolutely exploding.” California’s electricity prices went up by 7.5 percent last year and they will likely rise another 40 percent by 2030. This, in a state with the highest poverty rate and largest Latino population in America. How is racial justice or social equity being served by such regressive policies?
* I also talked about resilience, saying “Electrifying everything is the opposite of anti-fragile. Electrifying transportation will put more of our energy eggs in one basket. It will make the grid an even-bigger target for terrorists, cyberthieves, or bad actors. It will reduce resilience and reliability in case of a prolonged grid failure due to natural disaster, equipment failure, or human error.”
I also highlighted the myriad supply-chain problems with EVs. Citing work done by the Natural History Museum in London, I said that electrifying half of the U.S. motor vehicle fleet would require in rough terms:
* 9 times the world’s current cobalt production
* 4 times global neodymium output
* 3 times global lithium production
* 2 times world copper production
I concluded by saying:
Oil’s dominance in transportation is largely due to its high energy density. That density and improvements in internal combustion engines and hybrids assure that oil will be fueling transport for decades to come.
Powerful lobby groups want Congress to spend billions on electrification schemes that will impose regressive taxes on low-income Americans, reduce our resilience, and increase reliance on China. That’s a dubious trifecta.
Let’s amplify that last point: reliance on electric vehicles will put our future squarely in the hands of the Chinese Communist Party.
Robert’s testimony included this stunning chart:
I suspect that for many Democrats, turning our future over to the Communist Chinese is a feature, not a bug.
The extent to which the CCP has co-opted the American establishment by distributing cash freely is stunning.
Oh, and how deeply have EVs actually penetrated our transportation industry? This is revealing.
EVs still account for less than one percent of the 276 million registered vehicles in the U.S. Of all the EVs on U.S. roads, about 42 percent of them are in California.
By contrast, states like South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, and Wyoming each have less than 1,000 registered EVs. Furthermore, in 2020, fewer than 300,000 EVs were sold in the U.S.
For comparison, Ford Motor Company sold nearly 800,000 F-series pickup trucks last year.
As a result of the “green” energy fad, blackouts are already fast on the way to becoming the new normal.
If policymakers continue to mandate and subsidize electric vehicles, the U.S. will look like a third-world country, with electricity available only episodically and at rates unaffordable for most.
See more here: powerlineblog.com
Bold emphasis added
Header image: Car & Driver
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CharlieKing1
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Currently a road use tax is collected when one pumps gasoline into their automobile. So how will road use taxes be collected on EVs? Will one have to pay road use taxes at these proposed 1.3 million new public EV chargers? Someone please clarify this for me.
Further, with certain members of the elite proclaiming that the use of oil and coal will be a thing of the past, then what will be the source of electricity to power all of these EVs? Will it be wind turbines and solar panels that provide the source electricity? That proved a failure this past February in Texas.
Certainly at some point in the life of the EV the batteries will have to be replaced. Then what will happen to the old batteries? Recycled? Buried in a landfill? Thrown in a junkyard?
I am not convinced that EVs are the wave of the future…
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Rico Suave
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Transponders required for all vehicles like the fukkin vax mandates.
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Stephen
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They certainly are not the future.
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ken roberts
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When I pull into a gas station for a fill up now, it takes about a minute to fill it up. This makes traveling anywhere more than 200 miles from home feasible. When you take out your EV, and want to go the same distance, you better have a hotel at the “electric filling station” since the normal chargers take 8 hours for a full charge. (If the electric is available)
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strickl
| #
Our future electricity needs are about to skyrocket at the very same time that government is trying to kill coal and will soon turn their sites on natural gas. We need to double our current electricity capacity to make up for the shutting down of carbon fuels and burdening the remaining capacity with EV’s. They only carbon-neutral way of doing this is to build nuclear power plants – Lots of them and now. We can’t wait another day. The EV targets are only a few years away and a nuclear power plant will take 20 years to build. We likely will need 100’s of nuclear power plants.
I don’t believe our government even cares that we will all be sitting in the dark very soon. I for one am considering my options, and they all lead me to going completely off-grid because I know the grid will be off once EV’s become the norm.
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Verbal Bomb Chucker
| #
EVs vs Reality??
Reality for the Win!
Commiefornia can barely keep the lights on. Can you imagine millions of Mindless Marxists plugging in their “Coal-Powered” cars at night at roughly the same time?? Result……Massive blackout that lasts for weeks.
I’ll keep my “Dinosaur-juice powered” car (Honda Fit). It gets 39.5 mpg.
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Jack Buck
| #
The Environmental Impact of Lithium Batteries – IER
(Electric cars may be ecological disaster)
https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/renewable/the-environmental-impact-of-lithium-batteries/
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Meremortal
| #
Another wonder to think about. You can’t produce an electric vehicle without using oil for many of the parts. Without using oil, the car will too heavy. Check this out:
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/how-much-oil-electric-vehicle/
And by the way, all those nutty environmental protestors with green, purple, blue, etc. hair?
What is hair dye made from ?
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Tom SteChatte
| #
Another great example of why the Banana Republic must fall, and for all our sakes it should be as soon as possible. Accepting that pragmatic truth, we should consider maybe letting BLM/Antifa do their worst. The enemy of my enemy is my friend.
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