Did The Covid ‘Vaccines’ Actually Save Any Lives At All?

Written by Joel Smalley on July 10, 2023. Posted in Current News

It seems fitting that on July 4th, I should be doing some analysis on US mortality data

As it happens, I have been asked to assess the claim that the COVID “vaccine” saved any lives (let alone millions).

Let’s start with the overall picture of weekly excess deaths and COVID deaths, in America, between 2015 and 2023.

It certainly looks like COVID is responsible for all the excess deaths in America, doesn’t it 1? And there’s plenty of them.

But can you already spot a problem with this picture?

Regardless of state, the majority of susceptible Americans (clinically vulnerable and elderly) were “fully protected” by May 2021. That is to say that they had completed a primary course of COVID “vaccination”.

As a matter of fact, by the beginning of July 2021 (when the third wave of “COVID” mortality sweeps across the nation), well over 80 percent of over 65s across the entire country have completed their primary course. By the end of April 2022, over 60 percent have had their first booster.

In other words, 5 in every 8 over 65s in America, have had at least 3 doses of the mRNA by this endpoint. That ought to be plenty enough for a product with claimed effectiveness of up to 100 percent to have a material impact on mortality?

Nevertheless, in the ten months since July 2021, when the “vaccine” is alleged to have been up to 100 percent effective, there is pretty much the same amount of excess death (473k) as there was in the comparable ten months, just over a year before (482k), when there was no “vaccine”.

According to the claimed effectiveness, the latter period should have seen a drop of at least 360k deaths – roughly 80 percent (fully “vaccinated” population) * 95 percent (effectiveness) * 482k (prior period excess deaths).

However, since there is, in fact, no real decrease in excess mortality, it is totally implausible and irrational to claim that any lives have been saved 2. Unless, of course, there is a legitimate reason why deaths might have otherwise been higher in that period?

On the contrary, the assumptions about expectations of excess death in the latter period should all result in lower excess deaths, viz: 3

1. So many people died in the first wave (spring 2020) and again, evidently in the second wave (autumn 2020 to winter 2021) that there should be fewer people dying in summer 2021 onwards. Not only that but those who died in the prior 15 months were obviously the most frail. Not only can they not die again but those that survived should also be less likely to die.
2. The country should be better protected against COVID due to higher levels of immunity. Naturally immune people should not get infected because they have mucosal immunity. If they cannot be infected, they cannot be infectious. If they are not infectious, they cannot infect someone who might be susceptible to dying.
3. The virus should be weaker. It is a logical, natural phenomenon that infectious/transmissible viruses mutate in favour of less virulent strains since they are less likely to incapacitate their host. A less virulent virus is, by definition, less fatal.

If the “vaccine” is also alleged to reduce mortality, how is it that excess deaths remain the same, in spite of the above? 4

The case that this last intervention made things worse is actually stronger than the case for it being effective.

However, this latter claim does not even have to be made in order to refute the claim that the “vaccine” is safe and effective.

To recap:

1. The official data 5 shows a very strong correlation between reported COVID deaths and excess deaths;
2. The COVID “vaccine” is claimed by the manufacturers to have up to 100 percent effectiveness in reducing “severe [COVID] disease” 6;
3. In the 9 month period, a few weeks after more than 80 percent of the “at-risk” population has completed the primary course, and by the end of which, over 60 percent have also received a third (booster) dose, there is no decrease in excess mortality, compared to the equivalent period just over a year before, when the “vaccine” was unavailable.
4. There are many other logical, and scientifically proven, factors that would support the expectation that mortality in the latter period should be lower, at any rate, irrespective of the “effectiveness” of the “vaccine”.

If we include the spring 2020 wave and deaths after April 2022, comparing the periods March 2020 to June 2021 and July 2021 to Oct 2022 (both spanning 69 weeks), we see a reduction in reported COVID mortality of 23 percent (141k deaths) and reduction in overall excess mortality of 13 percent (83k deaths).

Curiously though, when we plot “vaccinations” of over 65s 25 weeks after the primary course and 13 weeks after boosters, we do not observe the negative correlation we would expect if such an intervention were responsible for the reduction in mortality.

On the contrary, we actually see declining COVID/excess mortality concomitant with declining rates of “vaccination”.

Again, if the “vaccine” were effective, as fewer people “boosted” their protection, we should see higher COVID mortality, not the opposite that we observe.

In the absence of “vaccines” providing protection against COVID mortality, what we are actually most likely seeing is evidence of my assumptions for lower mortality as noted above, i.e. fewer moribund people, weaker virus, etc…

So, if there is lower mortality coincident with decreasing rates of “vaccination”, at the same time this strongly suggests, once again, that it was the vaccine interfering with the natural, expected decline in mortality in the nine months from July 2021 7 – not that this point needs to be proven to simply reject the hypothesis that the vaccine was effective and saved any lives.

It wasn’t.

It didn’t.

At a minimum or at best if you prefer, the COVID “vaccine” failed to prevent any deaths at all.

The evidence is indisputable and conclusive.

See more here substack.com

Header image: Anadolu Agency / Getty Images

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