Chance Favors The Prepared Mind—Part 2 or Jet Streams
In my previous essay, Chance Favors The Prepared Mind, I did not end up with the specific topic I intended when I started. So, to keep this essay on the straight and narrow I note the destination in the title. But we begin with the prepared mind referred to by Louis Pasteur.
Robert Arthur Beatty, a quite talented scientific scholar who is a mining engineer by profession, recently wrote:
I have a view that many of our research institutions start from a position of disadvantage when they begin doing research of a particular subject with a literature review. This has the effect of preconditioning research to a predetermined outcome. Better to start with a general knowledge of the subject, then do the research, determine the conclusions, then do the literature search to compare those conclusions with what other researchers have found. I know this is not traditional, but I find it works for me.
The traditional research approach leads to many in depth specialists and very few generalists. I find it very difficult to have people peer review my work. The usual reaction is “that is outside my field of specialisation”. I rely on friends and relatives for comment, but do my own presentation work.
The specialist cannot have a prepared mind.
I began the previous essay because of the PSI post (https://principia-scientific.
One of the best kept secrets of WWII was that Japan had launched very well designed and constructed weather sounding balloons with incendiary devices attached. The secret was that more than a thousand were known (observed) to had reached the USA as far east as the Midwest. Japanese meteorologists had observed what other meteorologist of that time did not know—atmospheric jet streams. Today, there are many locations (http://weather.uwyo.edu/
To the south west of Japan and north of India there is a very unique (relative to any other of the world) large geographical area which extends continuously west, north of 30oN latitude, across Asia to the Middle East, whose climatic classification is: Highland Climate. (Physical Geography 3rd Ed. 1969 by Arthur N. Strahler) Except there is no general discussion of what this Highland Climate might be except for its elevation.
However, if one goes to the University of Wyoming website, one can study the data made during this December of the launch sites to the east of the arid region which is west of Japan and north of India and which has no launch sites. Because there is so much data you must do your own study, which, I consider, will force most everyone to conclude that this siteless region was the likely the birthplace of the jet streams which carried the incendiary devices across the Pacific to the USA west coast and beyond.
But until you study the topography of this siteless, arid, region just north of the Himalayan mountain range, until you study certain SCAN (Soil Climate Analysis Network funded by the US Department of Agriculture) data, you maybe will not be able to understand (to explain) how it is that jet streams are conceived and give birth in this region during the winter. Then you might next try to understand (to explain) the occurrence of thunderstorms along the west coast of Japan during the winter.
Galileo has stated: We cannot teach people anything; we can only help them discover it within themselves. So, I have only tried, by calling attention to certain information (observations), to help readers to discover it within themselves.
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