CBS ‘Attributes’ Canada’s Wildfires To ‘Climate Change’
Although Canada’s wildfires this year were large and did cause widespread air pollution, history shows such wildfires aren’t historically unique.
Previous years’ good growing conditions, combined with a season’s drought and poor forest management, are responsible for this year’s wildfires in Canada.
The CBS News story, “Extreme fire weather fueled by climate change played significant role in Canada’s wildfires, new report says,” opens with this:
Extreme fire weather conditions fueled by climate change contributed to the increased severity of eastern Canada’s wildfire season this spring, a new report from the World Weather Attribution revealed.
The report, published on Tuesday, also determined that the fires, which burned across 13 million hectares of land through May and June, were linked to “very large-scale impacts on air quality.”
It is certainly true that Canada’s wildfires this year were large and impacted air quality across Canada and parts of the U.S., but that’s where the truth of the story stops.
World Weather Attribution is a climate alarmist organization specifically formed to attribute instances of extreme weather events and natural disasters to ‘climate change’. It uses computer models to do so and portrays the models’ outputs as if they were factual data.
They aren’t.
Computer models are tools and they are only effective or useful if their outputs, when checked against data, correspond to or are consistent with that data.
As Climate Realism has repeatedly shown, however, here, here, and here, for instance, climate models poorly represent real world data; they run far too hot and have produced climatological projections which have repeatedly proven false.
Climate Realism has had reason to specifically refute WWA’s assertions that various extreme weather events were caused by ‘climate change’ in the past, here, here, and here, for example.
Aside from the fact that the models used by WWA to credit Canada’s 2023 wildfires to ‘climate change’ are untrustworthy, Historical records and data show that, although Canada’s wildfires were large and their impact on air quality was widespread, such wildfires and air impacts in and from Canada, although relatively rare, are hardly unique.
As discussed in Climate Realism posts, here and here, refuting similar instances of misinformation about Canada’s wildfires previously published by the mainstream media, wildfires happen every year across Canada, which is why it has a designated “wildfire season,” just like in the United States.
Also, smoke from wildfires in Canada have periodically impacted air quality on the U.S. East Coast and beyond in the past, as they have done in 2023.
Long before anyone used ‘fossil fuels’ to generate electricity or for transportation, the New England Historical Society reports smoke from Canadian wildfires created “yellow” or “dark” days multiple times in history.
In particular: on May 12, 1706; October. 21, 1716; August, 9 1732; May 19, 1780; July 3, 1814; November, 6-10, 1819; July 8, 1836; September. 2, 1894; and September 24-30, 1950.
So contrary to the impression given by WWA and CBS News, smoke drifting into the United States from Canadian wildfires is hardly unprecedented.
The May 1780 wildfires in Canada delivered so much smoke to the Eastern United States, that May 19, 1780, became known as “New England’s Dark Day.” Reports from the time explain the smoke was so bad that candles had to be lit at midday to see.
Gunnar Schade, D.Sc., an associate professor with Texas A&M University’s Department of Atmospheric Sciences, says that after hitting the air stream the smoke from Canada’s wildfires was delivered by a:
“…North Central Canadian (Arctic) high-pressure system and a persistent, slow-moving, low-pressure system off the northeast coast [which] combined [to] cause large-scale southerly to southeasterly air movement, which has taken the smoke to the U.S. upper Midwest, southeast and east coast.”
Not only were this year’s fires not unique, they also do not as WWA and CBS News would have one believe, represent a worsening trend in Canadian wildfires that can be attributed to ‘climate change’.
The evidence shows wildfires in Canada and globally have been declining during the recent period of modest warming, rather than becoming more frequent or severe.
As pointed out in a previous Climate Realism post, data from Canada’s National Forestry Database show declining trends for both the number of fires and area burned over the past 31 years.
A study by scientists with the Canadian Forest Service, in fact, attributed the decline in forest fires in Canada over the past few decades to the combined effect of carbon dioxide fertilization and modestly rising temperatures, which resulted in improved soil moisture conditions.
Because plants lose less water via the process of transpiration under conditions of high CO2 and higher temperatures, less moisture is drawn from soil, making fires less likely not more.
Globally, NASA satellites have also recorded a significant decline in the number of wildfires. In the report Researchers Detect a Global Drop in Fires, NASA wrote:
“Globally, the total acreage burned by fires declined 24 percent between 1998 and 2015, according to a new paper published in Science.”
Following the science, therefore, one must conclude that 2023’s wildfires are neither unique, nor can they be honestly attributed to the recent modest global warming. Of course, WWA largely eschews references to hard data or historical records in its attribution studies.
As such, facts have little bearing on their climate model outputs. But one must ask, what about the real-world data and research clearly demonstrating declining wildfire trends does CBS News not get?
CBS should be reporting wildfire news based on data, not generating alarming news based on flawed models, sans facts.
See more here climaterealism.com
Bold emphasis added
Header image: Los Angeles Times
Editor’s note: Attrbution science is about the weakest form of science. Attributing an effect to a cause does not make it a fact. So-called ‘green’ policies and poor forest management have undoubtedly caused wildfires, as well as carlessness and arson, all of which are ‘attributed’ to ‘climate change’. You could be forgiven for thinking this is a deliberate act.
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Alan
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What has this got to do with modelling? The temperatures we have now and those predicted cannot possibly start a fire. The only weather related feature that can start a fire is lightening. Perhaps the book Fahrenheit 451 should be renamed Fahrenheit 100.
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Wisenox
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The middle class accumulated too much wealth and influence.
The “climate” changed from an impoverished society to one that threatens the seats of power.
Fires had to be started as part of the scripted destruction of society.
It’s a recurring theme from history. In fact, it’s the underlying theme from history. The elite’s realized long ago that a wealthy middle class would overthrow their seats of power and ruin their schemes.
The answer, preemptively destroy society before it happens. Thus, the “beast system” was created: plant the seed, grow it green, cut it down, harvest it and replant the seed somewhere else. The Jesus figure personifies this process through sun symbolism, and is part of the scam. That’s why so many religious figures in the past have the same story.
The enuma elis symbolically illustrates both the beginning of the business model and the “covenant”. The 2 sides of the covenant work in partnership to run societies through the cycle.
The cycle begins on the male side of chaos, and ends on the female side of order (order out of chaos). We are at end of cycle, and this is why transgender is pushed so hard.
The 4 horsemen of the apocalypse are simply the 4 aspects of society that are manipulated over the course of 7 years to accomplish the destruction, which usually features an insider-led rebellion. The “30 tyrants” from ancient Greece are no different than the scripted politicians acting out their parts today.
It’s all a script, they’ve done this many times before. We just helped their side harvest and destroy their societies in places like Iran, Iraq and Israel. Before them, it was Tartaria and on and on into the past. Empires fall from the inside, because that is the script that keeps the elites in power. In fact, they already know how the people will act at each turn. For example, the DHS has armed themselves for a war with Zombies. Fools in society latch on to it as if it’s a joke because they don’t know what a dictionary is, but a zombie is a person who is overly frustrated in the mind and lashes out. Meaning, the DHS has been gearing up for the “rebellion”. The rebels are used to push the police and military into clashes with the people. Once sides are formed, its easy to push them to be oppressive. They just have to convince the “zombies” to get out and protest so the subversion can happen.
It’s the Resurrection Script and its the underlying theme from history that nobody sees.
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