California Permanent Drought Update

Written by Tony Heller

Experts say California is in a permanent drought, caused by global warming and disappearing Arctic ice.

Precipitation there was above normal over the past 12 months, and there has been no trend over the past 120 years.

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Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Five to ten inches of rain forecast this week for Northern California.

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10-Day Precipitation Outlook for the Conterminous U.S.

Governor Brown was also hysterical about drought in 1977, which was followed by several years of California flooding.

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Brown Warns of Drought Disaster – Says Hard Choices’ Face California – View Article – NYTimes.com

The 1977 drought was blamed on global cooling and expanding Arctic ice.

2015-10-31-09-06-499 Jun 1977, Page 1 – at Newspapers.com

Nothing ever changes, expect that climate scientists periodically rename their scam as either global cooling or global warming.

Read more at realclimatescience.com

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Is our world a simulation? Why some scientists say it’s more likely than not

Written by Olivia Solon

When Elon Musk isn’t outlining plans to use his massive rocket to leave a decaying Planet Earth and colonize Mars, he sometimes talks about his belief that Earth isn’t even real and we probably live in a computer simulation.

“There’s a billion to one chance we’re living in base reality,” he said at a conference in June.

Musk is just one of the people in Silicon Valley to take a keen interest in the “simulation hypothesis”, which argues that what we experience as reality is actually a giant computer simulation created by a more sophisticated intelligence. If it sounds a lot like The Matrix, that’s because it is.

According to this week’s New Yorker profile of Y Combinator venture capitalist Sam Altman, there are two tech billionaires secretly engaging scientists to work on breaking us out of the simulation. But what does this mean? And what evidence is there that we are, in fact, living in The Matrix?

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CO2 and Climate Change For the Ages

Written by Ron Clutz

An Historical, not Hysterical Perspective: Much of the hysteria over atmospheric CO2 arises from dismissing the past, and thus losing the context for interpreting the present.  Recently, one scientist suggested that climate researchers should be schooled in geology before commenting on climate change.  Instead of that, of course, most of them are based in environmentalism.  So as a public service this post presents some excellent and time-tested evidence produced by Dr Guy LeBlanc Smith.  h/t Jeff Hayes

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Martians Fine Dining ….. on Lettuce and Cabbage

Written by Dr Klaus L E Kaiser

… and, perhaps, also radishes, snow peas, chard, and tomatoes – all for your balanced diet when dining on Mars.

Those are the plants that the current investigators at NASA think that you may be able to grow on planet Mars, provided these plants can be grown there at all. That’s why NASA is studying the subject at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida. Of course, they have high level backing from the White House that is fostering this week’s conference on “White House Frontiers: Robots, Space Exploration, and the Future of American Innovation.” The conference has five main themes, one of which is “Interplanetary Frontiers.” What could possibly be wrong, or go wrong?

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Britain’s ‘Bonfire’ of Climate & Green Regulations post-Brexit

Written by John O'Sullivan

As the political fall out from Brexit continues Britain’s mainstream media are reporting that environmentalists and climate alarmists are in full panic mode. The growing fear is that the UK government is set on a course of wholesale reversals of pro-green legislation.

greenies

Today’s Independent newspaper (October 13, 2016) reports that the latest “bonfire” fears stem from newly-installed Prime Minister Theresa May’s first act –  to unceremoniously scrap the Department for Energy and Climate Change, merging it into the renamed Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS). In no uncertain terms this is seen by all sides as a huge blow to the green lobby. The issue of a successful Brexit seems pinned to appeasing populist demands in abandoning failed and needless environmental policy.

A worried Simon Bullock, a climate campaigner at Friends of the Earth, told The Independent that “some politicians would see Brexit as an opportunity to do away with climate change policies they regard as “wasteful, bureaucratic red tape”.”

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Miracles And Knowledge Of Cause

Written by William M Briggs

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Jesus turned barrels of water into wine, and good wine at that. Not a drop or two, but large pots, and in only a moment. The details might be important.

Jesus told them, “Fill the jars with water.” So they filled them to the brim. Then he told them, “Draw some out now and take it to the headwaiter.” So they took it. And when the headwaiter tasted the water that had become wine…

Evidently, Jesus never touched the jars. As soon as they were filled, the water in them turned to wine (though it’s possible the water turned to wine in the ladles). The time this took must have been short. A moment or two, tops.

This happened, so it had to happen some how. The question is how? If we have any physicists or chemists in the audience, perhaps they might take a guess. (If you say it didn’t happen, then suppose it did arguendo. Do not go on about how it didn’t.)

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Are Global Warming Alarmists Upset Hurricane Matthew Wasn’t Worse?

Written by Kerry Jackson

Chicago mayor and Clinton crony Rahm Emanuel famously said to never let a crisis go to waste in politics. In the case of Hurricane Matthew, some political operatives and global warming true believers might have wanted the crisis to be worse than it was. It would be consistent with their history.

hurricane

Hurricane Matthew killed at least 30 Americans and more than 1,000 in total. Damage is estimated to be at least $5 billion.

But apparently that’s not enough death and destruction for the alarmists.

Before Matthew made landfall Saturday in South Carolina, it had been more than 4,000 days since the last hurricane hit the U.S. That’s 10 years, 11 months and about a week.

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Comical Errors in new Book Embarrass Climate Change Authors

Written by Geoff Chambers

It’s not often in the crazy world of Climate Science that you find something wholly new, even crazier than the last crazy thing you read, and written by one of the most prominent climate crazies of all. I’m talking about “Climate Change Science: A Modern Synthesis: Volume 1 – The Physical Climate (2013)” by G. Thomas Farmer and John Cook. You can read extracts of it on Amazon or at Google Books. book

If we haven’t heard more of this 600 page monster (or of volume 2, which was also due out in 2013 but doesn’t seem to have appeared) it’s possibly because of its price ($119).

Editors Springer describe it thus: (the punctuation is theirs):

Volume One of a two-volume treatment of climate change science designed for an introductory science course

Describes the discipline of Climate Change Science, and individual climate change scientists whose expertise spans Earth history, geology, geography, biology, oceanography, astronomy, mathematics, physics, chemistry, engineering and more

Examines evidence of global warming that has entered mainstream discussions of climate change

Discusses the ideas and tactics of climate skeptics and deniers

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New Planet Found in our Solar System by Astronomers

Written by Andrew Follett

Astronomers announced the discovery of a new dwarf planet orbiting the sun in the region beyond Pluto Tuesday. The new planet, dubbed 2014 UZ224, is more than 8.5 billion miles from the sun and has a diameter of about 330 meters.

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Uz224 was discovered by Dr. David Gerdes, a professor of astronomy at the University of Michigan. Gerdes used an instrument called a Dark Energy Camera paid for by the U.S. Department of Energy to make maps of distant galaxies.

Gerdes used the camera to photograph small patches of the sky once per week. Stars and galaxies were so much further away than UZ224 that they appeared to be basically stationary. But the tiny planet was continually in a slightly different position as it was moving across the relatively stationary backdrop of stars.

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New paper: Tibet climate change Natural for Last 300 Years

Written by Shiyuan Shi, Jinbao Li et al.

‘Three centuries of winter temperature change on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau and its relationship with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation’ studied in new paper.

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Abstract

Long-term, high-resolution proxy records containing cold season temperature signals are scarce on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau (TP), limiting our understanding of regional climate and the potential driving forces. In this study, we present a nearly three centuries long reconstruction of winter (December–February) mean temperature for the central Hengduan Mountains, southeastern TP. The reconstruction is derived from a composite tree-ring width chronology of Pinus yunnanensis Franch from two high elevation sites (>3000 m above sea level). Our reconstruction passes all standard calibration-verification schemes and explains nearly 73 {154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} of the variance of the original instrumental data. However, we were constrained to calibrate our full period (1718–2013) reconstruction of December–February mean temperature on the calibration period from 1959 to 1992 only, due to a decrease in temperature sensitivity of tree-ring index exhibited after 1992. Spatial correlation analysis shows that our reconstruction represents large-scale temperature variations in southwest China and the eastern TP. Our reconstructed December–February mean temperature shows a close association with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) over the past three centuries, with warm (cold) periods coinciding with the positive (negative) phases of the AMO. This persistent relationship suggests that the AMO may have been a key driver of multidecadal winter temperature variations on the southeastern TP.

Read more at link.springer.com

 

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Shock New Study: Antidepressants DOUBLE suicide risks

Written by Olivia Lerche

Taking  anti-depressants could double the risk of having feelings which could lead to suicide – a controversial new study has suggested.

A review of trials of antidepressants taken by healthy adults with no signs of a mental health disorder has found the drugs used to treat the illness doubled the harms related to suicide and violence. depression

Experts working on the study said the analysis was undertaken because the harms of antidepressants, including the risk of suicide, are often explained away as if they are disease symptoms or only a problem in children.

Professor Peter Gøtzsche, of the Nordic Cochrane Centre and lead author of the study, said: “While it is now generally accepted that antidepressants increase the risk of suicide and violence in children and adolescents, most people believe that these drugs are not dangerous for adults.

“This is a potentially lethal misconception.” He added: “The reporting of harms in drug trials is generally poor.

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Chicxulub ‘dinosaur crater’ investigation begins in earnest

Written by Jonathan Amos

Scientists have obtained remarkable new insights into the asteroid impact that wiped out the dinosaurs. They have been examining rocks from the crater that the 15km-wide space object dug out of what is now the Gulf of Mexico some 66 million years ago.

The team says it can see evidence in these materials for how life returned to the scene soon after the calamity. Descendants of these small organisms are likely thriving today in amongst the crater’s smashed up materials.

The international project has shipped the hundreds of metres it drilled from beneath the Gulf floor earlier this year to the MARUM Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, at the University of Bremen, Germany. It is here that the cores are being catalogued, analysed and archived.

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Flights probe jet stream role in floods

Written by David Shukman

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Image captionOne of the instruments clusters hangs beneath a wing on the FAAM plane

A major international effort is under way to research one of the greatest unknowns in weather forecasting – the influence of the jet stream.

For the first time, a fleet of drones and planes is being deployed from the United States, Iceland and Britain to investigate the flow of air crossing the Atlantic. Jet streams are powerful currents of high-altitude wind that govern the patterns of weather down on the surface.

The one over the Atlantic has frequently driven storms over Britain, most recently last winter, causing devastating floods. Early results indicate that the jet stream is narrower, stronger and more sharply defined than predicted by computer models – which could have implications for weather forecasts.

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Man-made global warming myth & why Big Green Investors Rely on it

Written by Tom Tamarkin

Abstract: Green or renewable energy has become a trillion dollar plus annual industry. Tens of thousands of new businesses have been spawned worldwide based on “green and renewable” energy. Major fossil fuel companies such as Shell Energy have formed green energy divisions.

These companies are virtually 100{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} dependent on the politically driven notion of anthropogenic (made-made) global warming (AGW) and “climate change.” The media, public and political establishment constantly recite the incorrect fact that 97{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} of scientists state AGW is real and man has created carbon dioxide (CO2) based climate change.

big-green

However increased concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere do not lead to global warming and climate change. CO2 is a trace gas in the atmosphere. The major “greenhouse gas” is water vapor. An intricate feedback system regulates the Earth’s temperature maintaining immunity from increases and decreases of such trace gases. Furthermore this incorrect notion is responsible for the potential massive redistribution of wealth to poor countries.

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Mann-Made Climate Change – Climate Scientists Changing The Data

Written by Tony Heller

In 1979, global cooling since the 1940’s was indisputable.

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Lawrence Journal-World – Google News Archive Search

By 1989, NOAA extended the cooling trend back from 1921 to 1979, and said most warming occurred before 1919.

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7 Dec 1989, Page 14

A year later, Phil Jones reversed NOAA’s cooling trend, and turned it into half a degree warming from 1890 to 1990.

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31 Aug 1990, Page 11 – The Age at Newspapers.com

And now Gavin Schmidt at NASA has doubled Phil Jones 1890-1990 trend, and turned it into 1.0C warming.

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Climate change is best defined as “a handful of gangsters at government agencies changing data to keep billions of dollars of climate funding pouring in.”

Read more  at realclimatescience.com

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Time for Science to dump “statistical significance”

Written by Professor David Colquhoun

The aim of science is to establish facts, as accurately as possible. It is therefore crucially important to determine whether an observed phenomenon is real, or whether it’s the result of pure chance. If you declare that you’ve discovered something when in fact it’s just random, that’s called a false discovery or a false positive. And false positives are alarmingly common in some areas of medical science. stats

In 2005, the epidemiologist John Ioannidis at Stanford caused a storm when he wrote the paper ‘Why Most Published Research Findings Are False’,focusing on results in certain areas of biomedicine. He’s been vindicated by subsequent investigations. For example, a recent article found that repeating 100 different results in experimental psychology confirmed the original conclusions in only 38 per cent of cases. It’s probably at least as bad for brain-imaging studies and cognitive neuroscience. How can this happen?

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