Canadian Government Admits Inflating COVID numbers by 50 percent
A few days ago the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield admitted COVID-19 deaths were probably over-counted. Now a similar admission comes from Canada. How much is the virus death toll being exaggerated and who is to blame?
Beyond all doubt, there is indeed a “perverse incentive” for hospitals to overcount their coronavirus deaths by falsely attributing unrelated deaths to the virus. Officials do this because of the CARES Act passed by Congress in March, whereby hospitals receive a 20 percent premium when seeking payment for Medicare patients who died allegedly of the coronavirus.
Now we learn that an official report can be found on the Public Health Ontario website that the kind of same scam is happening north of the border:
Using the excuse that it needed to exaggerate the numbers to account for a guesstimate of potentially uncounted unreported deaths, Public Health Ontario Canada simply added an ‘inflation factor’ of 50 percent. Pure guesswork, pure fraud.
Moreover, the report admits ZERO actual deaths of children (emphasized in yellow above) from the disease had been reported so they decided to make them up. This is despite the growing widespread national and international evidence that children are almost entirely unaffected while 95 percent of deaths occur in those over 70 with existing comorbidities.
All reported deaths were inflated to assess the impact of an assumed potential under-detection of COVID19 deaths. An inflation factor of 50 percent was chosen since, on average, several European countries reported under-detections of 50 percent in an analysis conducted by the New York Times.
On pages 9 & 10 you can see the REAL vs ESTIMATES in the tables of numbers which include the faked inflation numbers.
About the author: John O’Sullivan John is CEO and co-founder (with Dr Tim Ball) of Principia Scientific International (PSI). John is a seasoned science writer and legal analyst who assisted Dr Ball in defeating world leading climate expert, Michael ‘hockey stick’ Mann in the ‘science trial of the century‘. O’Sullivan is credited as the visionary who formed the original ‘Slayers’ group of scientists in 2010 who then collaborated in creating the world’s first full-volume debunk of the greenhouse gas theory plus their new follow-up book.
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Richard Wakefield
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Fake? Oh, please. Let’s look at ESTIMATES for the yearly flu:
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm
Their range of infections for last year for the flu was between 39,000,000 – 56,000,000.
There is NOTHING nefarious going on here. Ontario is reporting only CONFIRMED cases, which is now 39,714.up from the 22,942 in May. Of course more people are carrying this virus than confirmed, THAT’S WHY IT’S STILL SPREADING!!!
Back in May Canada was doing 0.76 tests per thousand people. That has doubled since and still increasing. Not everyone in the country has been tested.
In May 25 tests were required to find one case. That has increased 4 fold to 100 tests per confirmed case. That means it is taking more tests to find a case, which is great news and shows our lockdown is working.
Compare that to the US where 12 tests are required to find a case. That rate has been flat for the last 3 months even though tests have been increasing per thousand. That means there are lots of people in the US who have the virus but not tested to confirm.
Compare that to Mexico. Almost every test done there now is finding someone infected, and their number of tests has increased. That’s bad news.
There is no inflating of the numbers. What is stated as confirmed is confirmed, not what is suspected is the number infected. Which of course, there is more.
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Alan Blanes
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Your assessment is more accurate, Richard. What is urgent is that local grassroots health agencies have to organize #EvenDistributionTesting so that the virus is isolated and removed from the population without delay. New Zealand and China are intercepting outbreaks way better than our hemisphere is.
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richard
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how reliable is the test?
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Richard Wakefield
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http://www.sci-news.com/medicine/three-variants-sars-cov-2-coronavirus-08313.html
https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/expert-answers/covid-antibody-tests/faq-20484429
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Finn McCool
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Richard
I suspect that you have little experience in statistical analysis which is why you parrot numbers from media sources.
Stating that it takes 12 tests to find a case in the US is just plain silly given the monumental size and diversity of the country. It is impossible to try and bundle up the US and compare it to Mexico for many reasons.
You have a misplaced confidence that a positive RT-PCR test “confirms” that one is infected with SC2. Given your acceptance of the 1 in 12 positive tests in the US (8.33%), can you tell me what the probability of testing positive and actually being infected with SC2 is?
How can 22,942 “cases” in Ontario in May now be 39,714? How can you then conclude, after samples have been taken from the population, that “more people are carrying this virus than confirmed”. That is just nonsense.
The last sentence of your comment appears to be a random collection of words cobbled together to resemble a sentence. I can assure you that it does not impart anything intelligible to the reader.
Perhaps an elementary course in statistics and probability would do you the power of good.
I must say that you do post some interesting links for which I thank you for.
Keep your pecker up, Dick. The chance of you being infected and dying from COVID19 are decidedly slim.
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rickk
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Slim to NONE – for a kid under 20y chances of getting hit by lightening are greater than dying of covid – and substantial evidence that these youngsters do not infect teachers or parents. Yet the policy is a tepid re-opening of schools with silly mask orders and scheduled social distancing – hey facts don’t fit the narrative of the scared “Karens” so lockem’ down and let them suffer (at least they MIGHT not get the Chinese virus which won’t bother them regardless)
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Richard Wakefield
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“I suspect that you have little experience in statistical analysis which is why you parrot numbers from media sources.”
Computer programming and statistical analysis professionally for 35+ years.
My sources is Johns Hopkins. Yours?
“Stating that it takes 12 tests to find a case in the US is just plain silly given the monumental size and diversity of the country. It is impossible to try and bundle up the US and compare it to Mexico for many reasons.”
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-testing
If you disagree with their numbers, go tell them to change it to yours.
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Finn McCool
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Richard
LMAO
You couldn’t programme a washing machine.
Now answer my questions.
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Richard Wakefield
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How the fuck do you know what I can do? You have no clue. I answered the question. Now go tell John’s Hopkins their data is fake.
E. Nichols
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Thanks for pointing this out it is clear from the CDC documentation on the RT-PCR that a positive or negative is not conclusive. We have seen gunshot victims and people in automobile accidents counted as CoViD-19 deaths here in the US. Now if the disease is as fatal is claimed, inflating deaths and cases is totally unnecessary. Also in the US hospitals/medical providers have a vested and economic interest in elevated case and death counts.
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Richard Wakefield
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” We have seen gunshot victims and people in automobile accidents counted as CoViD-19 deaths here in the US.”
Bullshit lie. You have no evidence of that. Zero. What’s the incentive for every coroner in the US to lie and commit medical fraud?
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Richard Wakefield
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” Also in the US hospitals/medical providers have a vested and economic interest in elevated case and death counts.”
Yet in other countries like Canada there is no such incentive, yet they have the same rates of infection and deaths as the US. Hospitals dont get paid by the deaths, they get paid by the patient. Under the Federal Government CARES program hospitals get more money for Covid patient because they require more resources, plus the Federal government doesnt want this burden on the families. There is nothing nefarious going on.
https://www.denverpost.com/2020/05/20/coronavirus-covid-medicare-payments-hospitals/
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JaKo
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Hi Richard W,
I hate to get involved with personal “opinions” such as these; however, here is an opportunity for clearing the choice of and reliance upon the ‘sources’ — you claimed:
“Yet in other countries like Canada there is no such incentive, yet they have the same rates of infection and deaths as the US.”
Now, lets see, @2020-08-06 (latest full data from World-o-Meters, all data accumulated totals expressed in form of number per million):
US of A: 15k2 Cases and 492 Deaths and
Canada: 3k1 Cases and 237 Deaths
My interpretation: Cases — about FIVE TIMES and Deaths — about DOUBLE of the Canadian — that is not the same, nor it is even ‘similar’ — so unless one concludes there are considerable incentives for US testers to be, well, rather positive, we (Je suis Canuck) don’t come even close.
OTOH, we tend to forget here: The goal is not to “beat” this COVID-19 — that would be, IMHO, pointless — but to somehow safely, i.e. with minimal avoidable mortality, allow for world-wide spreading of this infection to provide for herd immunity, if at all possible. In this view, the US of A (M=3.2%) is indeed doing much better than Canada (M=7.6%)!
Cheers, JaKo
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Richard Wakefield
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Dont count on herd immunity.
https://hub.jhu.edu/2020/04/30/herd-immunity-covid-19-coronavirus/
If it did work, Europeans wouldnt have wiped out 90% of the indigenous peoples of North America. Oh, they got herd immunity, after the vast majority of them died.
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Alan Stewart
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CDC #’s August 5th. Child mortality 0-14 – 42 and no info re comorbidities. Numbers, always the numbers. ~10x population
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
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MattH
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Hi John O’Sullivan.
Hydroxychloroquine being ‘discarded prematurely’ This is the headline in a current BBC article under the Corona Virus section.
It could well be worth downloading before it disappears.
Cheers
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