Modeling ‘Climate Change’ On Made-Up Planets To Push Global Doom
The famous ‘Fermi Paradox’ asks why, if life really is every bit as prevalent in the cosmos as some astrobiologists claim, with their equally famous ‘Drake Equation’ (which purports to show extraterrestrial life should be teeming just about everywhere in the universe), then where is it all?
One possible answer might be that, once all intelligent civilizations reach a certain point of advancement, they stumble across the so-called ‘Great Filter’, a developmental obstacle that simply can never be overcome, no matter what planet you are living on, which ultimately destroys the whole species in an irreversible Mass Extinction Event.
This Great Filter was once often imagined to be a nuclear war – now, it is increasingly deemed to be ‘climate change’, a phenomenon no cutting-edge industrial civilization can supposedly ever escape from unscathed, on Earth or off it.
One leading advocate of this kind of doomsday thinking today is Adam Frank, a U.S. astrophysicist whose 2018 book Light of the Stars: Alien Worlds and the Fate of the Earth and many co-authored academic papers have attempted to delineate a so-called “Astrobiology of the Anthropocene”.
The ‘Anthropocene’ is the proposed (and recently rejected) term many scientists want to give to the current geological era on Earth, which they say has been irrevocably impacted and influenced by mankind and its technology, namely nuclear bombs and ‘fossil fuels’.
From Drake Equation to Fake Equation?
Speaking of numbers, as Frank and his co-researchers claim to have produced climate models for generic other planets that do not even exist, where have they got the necessary data to fill them up with?
It must be pretty detailed data because, look, Frank has somehow managed to create modeling graphs for the four most likely presumed scenarios for any planet’s long-term sustainability or civilizational collapse path, once intelligent life eventually appears on it:
Black line: made-up trajectory of made-up planet’s made-up population
Red line: co-evolving made-up trajectory of made-up planet’s made-up environmental state (a proxy for its made-up temperature, says Professor Frank)
The first model graph, labeled ‘Die-Off’, is the one that currently appears to apply to doomed old Planet Earth, at least in the view of Frank.
According to Commander Data, talking in another 2018 promotional interview with LiveScience:
In this scenario, the civilisation’s population skyrockets over a short period of time, and as the aliens guzzle energy and belch out greenhouse gases, the planet’s temperature spikes, too.
(In this study, temperature was used to represent human-made impacts on the planet’s habitability via ‘greenhouse gas’ ‘pollution’.)
The population peaks, then suddenly plummets as rising temperatures make survival harder and harder. The population eventually levels off, but with a fraction of the people who were around before.
Imagine if seven out of 10 people you knew died quickly. It’s not clear a complex technological civilisation could survive that kind of change.
It probably could if they were all just civil servants.
See more here climatechangedispatch
Editor’s note: the answer to the question where is all the life in the universe is that because of the vast distances between the stars, it is unlikely one civilisation will ever know of the existence of another, let alone come into contact with them.
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Howdy
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The Earth is a learning/testing zone, and Humans, vehicles for learning. Humanity will not find what it seeks ‘out there’ because that is not part of the ‘curriculum’.
One sees nothing more than what one needs to see, and is confronted by situations, repeatedly if required, that make the life the lesson it is. This is unavoidable.
Pass or fail, do or die. Other than failure, or success, the rest is not within one’s control.
You can call It fate. Either way, the future is nobodies to predict.
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VOWG
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Computer models, we saw how well that worked with “covid”, right, right.
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Len Winokur
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(1) Science: a house built on ‘Just so’ stories.
(2) When will humanity outgrow its tendency to see itself as having the god-like power to eventually understand and control everything?
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Charles Higley
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As soon as they mention computer models you know the results will be worthless, as they are based on a minimum of factors and the factors are biased choices. All of the climate computer models use CO2 as the driving factor while ignoring over 50 other factors that influence climate, including clouds, heat from the planet interior (which drives the ENSO with heat input in the western Pacific), atmospheric convection, and ocean cycles which are major factors. Atmospheric convection is a huge factor which transports ~85% of solar insulation to altitude.
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