Why Are Government Climate Models So Unreliable?

Written by TL Winslow on April 16, 2020. Posted in Current News

The first thing to know about global climate models (GCMs) is that they’re all government products, created by a small closed clique of govt.-funded lifers owned by the globalist Marxists centered in the U.N.

The U.N. extols its politician-run IPCC octopus of kept scientists, academics, journalists, and politicians, so no wonder they all closely track each other while all being wrong, with all 103 being off by over 2 sigma in the warming direction.

No surprise, they all try to reduce the gigantic atmosphere to a grid of elements, often 100,000, and lamely try to use supercomputers to advance the elements in time via patchwork physics, some based on parameterization not equations because the physical phenomena take place in a smaller volume than the elements.

That brings up the question of how they initialize all the elements, namely, by taking a small motley collection of data points and interpolating.

Too bad, they all buy the CO2 AGW hoax, with subroutines that automatically throw the models off in the direction of global warming, causing them to overestimate it and diverge from reality, which doesn’t bother the IPCC but rather pleases it so that the climate agitprop octopus can go to work with climate alarmist stories to make the cash registers ring. It’s pure GIGO – garbage in, garbage out.

Oops, there’s one that doesn’t track the others because it discounts the fake warming effect of CO2, and it comes from Moscow.

In short, climate modelers aren’t climate scientists, they’re overpaid gamers.

Here’s one of the IPCC publications touting their GCMs:

Climate models: An assessment of strengths and limitations

In 2017 American climatologist Judith A. Curry published the report “Climate Models for the Layman”, concluding that global climate models (GCMs) are “not fit for the purpose of justifying political policies to fundamentally alter world social, economic and energy systems” for the reasons that:

“GCMs have not been subject to the rigorous verification and validation that is the norm for engineering and regulatory science”;

“There are valid concerns about a fundamental lack of predictability in the complex nonlinear climate system”;

“There are numerous arguments supporting the conclusion that climate models are not fit for the purpose of identifying with high confidence the proportion of the 20th century warming that was human-caused as opposed to natural”;

“There is growing evidence that climate models predict too much warming from increased atmospheric carbon dioxide”;

“The climate model simulation results for the 21st century reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) do not include key elements of climate variability, and hence are not useful as projections for how the 21st century climate will actually evolve.”

The basic reason that IPCC-backed GCMs are always wrong is their attempt to push the hoax that atmospheric CO2 doesn’t just help the rest of the atmosphere cool the Earth’s surface after the Sun heats it, but somehow sends the heat back down and actually heats it up, in violation of the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Here’s a quote straight from NASA’s Web site:

“The natural greenhouse effect raises the Earth’s surface temperature to about 15 degrees Celsius on average – more than 30 degrees warmer than it would be if it didn’t have an atmosphere. The amount of heat radiated from the atmosphere to the surface (sometimes called ‘back radiation’) is equivalent to 100 percent of the incoming solar energy. The Earth’s surface responds to the ‘extra’ (on top of direct solar heating) energy by raising its temperature.” – NASA Earth Observator Climate and Earth’s Energy Budget (Climate and Earth’s Energy Budget)

Any so-called climate scientist who doesn’t disavow this moose hockey isn’t fit to shine shoes in a subway, and should give their degrees back and find another more useful career like pipefitting or hairstyling. Yet the fake field of “climate science” is going gangbusters, hitching its wagon to IPCC’s star as it rakes in billions and has its sights set on trillions.

No surprise, since it’s pushing a blatant scientific hoax the IPCC has long had a stranglehold on academia and academic journals, closing off outside input in their cozy kept world of true believers in so-called anthropogenic global warming (AGW), whose incomes are under IPCC control.

It’s pure corruption of science for political motives with the goal of foisting world govt., as proved by the way they jump to use the models to predict climate Armageddon way out decades ahead even though they have been patched over and over just to keep up with the past, worse than models of the stock market.

The only way to make progress now would be to throw all the models out and start over with new basic principles, and keep Marxism and its social justice out of it.

DR TIM BALL MUST READ : Environmentalism – Evidence Suggests It Was Always And Only About Achieving World Government

Science’s Untold Scandal: Professional Societies’ Sell Out on Climate Change | PSI Intl

The real skinny on today’s climate models is that due to the influence of the IPCC, funding for climate scientists has ballooned into the ballions, er, billions a year, and since there is no money in real climate research, which takes years sometimes, to get their piece of the pie now every climate scientist finds it easier to model some piece of the climate with a computer program, which doesn’t have to produce any real information but pays well per hour.

On top of that, if they can get more powerful computers authorized to run their models, they can hope for pay increases. And what’s really nice is that no matter how far off the models are, they never lose their jobs and just keep getting treated like sacred cows.

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NEW RESEARCH – NATURAL VARIABILITY NOT CO2 EXPLAINS SEVERE WEATHER from droughts, floods, hurricanes DECLINING since 1961. “Cooling, Not Warming, Leads To Weather and Climate Instability.”

Putting Climate Change Claims to the Test

GOLDSTEIN: Feds scrapped 100 years of data on climate change

Global Temperature Increases Are Lower and Slower, Says New Study

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Read more at antarcticvolcanoesproject.blogspot.com

About the author: T L Winslow is a graduate of Electrical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder and former software engineer for McDonnell-Douglas. He is a prolific writer, historian and researcher and edits and runs various websites including the Science & Technology Watch Blog and The Antarctic Volcanoes Project Blog.

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