New UN Climate Report Set to Plumb New Depths

The next version of the UN IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) report on global warming will be out in a week or so. Independent critics have been scathing as a leak of the report reveals alarmist ‘scientists’ are doubling down on doomsaying predictions, despite increasing real world evidence contradicting them.mad scientist

Expect the uncritical media (e.g. here) to deluge us with more warnings of impending catastrophes, demanding that we take radical measures to stave off disaster. (See How the Media Will Spin the IPCC Report — and Why it is Wrong.)

The reality is that the IPCC “experts” know more-and-more about less-and-less.

For example, this recent independent study recently concluded that 97{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} of the computer climate models have been shown to have overestimated the amount of warming due to CO2, etc.

  •  How come we don’t see the media publicizing that 97{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} consensus?

  • A normal distribution (bell curve) would show about 50{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} of these would be high predictions and about 50{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} low. 

  • That they are essentially ALL high is a clear indication of bias, plus an ignorance about CO2 inter-relationships.

  • The average overestimation error is 100{154653b9ea5f83bbbf00f55de12e21cba2da5b4b158a426ee0e27ae0c1b44117} — an enormous scientific discrepancy.

In light of these realities, for the IPCC to claim that they now have an even higher confidence in their conclusions, is simply political posturing to justify their existence.

The bottom line is that there is an extraordinarily large amount of understanding of this issue that we simply do not have. To spend tens of trillions of dollars to “fix” something we don’t understand is insanity.

 I wrote out my global warming position, and publicly posted it a few years ago. Although I have tweaked it to add new studies, it remains basically the same.

Please look at the other documents on our global warming page, especially the report Consensus and Controversy — which is an insightful and objective assessment of both sides of this issue, by an independent, qualified organization.

Please carefully study ScienceUnderAssault.info for an overview of what is happening to Science here. The corruption of Science is the single most important technical issue of our times.

 

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