Gas Heating To Be Replaced By Thin Air!
Naturally, we have all recently been focussing on EVs, as far as electricity demand has been concerned.
But what about domestic heating and cooking, as RogerJC rightly asks?
The Two Degrees scenario, which is the only one where carbon reduction targets are achieved, projects a sharp drop in gas consumption, to virtually nothing by 2050.
This is to be achieved largely via better insulation and the widespread adoption of heat pumps.
http://fes.nationalgrid.com/fes-document/fes-2017/
All highly optimistic, but the real surprise is what they are forecasting for electricity demand. After all, all of these heat pumps must be using a hell of a lot of power.
Moreover, as they assume, by 2050 there will be an extra 9 million people living in 4 million extra homes.
Yet, under the same scenario, residential demand barely increases at all from current levels.
And how does the FES account for this sleight of hand?
Easy peasy, eh?
And we can forget about more efficient appliances, as they will do no more than dampen the effects of population growth.
The entire exercise seems to have been designed to start with the answer, and work backward from there, ever increasingly into fantasy land.
I think I mentioned a wing and a prayer last week, in this context. And that accurately sums up just where we are heading.
The whole of our energy strategy is dependent on new technologies (which don’t even exist yet), consumers agreeing to cooperate (even though it is not in their interest), smart grids (which are pie in the sky), the sun shining 24 hours a day in winter, and goodness knows what else is dreamt up by the “experts”.
And if all of these things don’t happen to come about?
It is hard to avoid the conclusion that we are all governed by a bunch of idiots!
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