No Increase In Landfalling Hurricane Trends In Last 75 Years
As I pointed out in my review of hurricanes last week, comprehensive observation and measurement on hurricanes globally really only became possible in the 1980s, with the help of satellites and robust hurricane hunter aircraft
But reliable longer term data is available for landfalling hurricanes, notably, of course, in the US.
For the last few years Roger Pielke Jr has been keeping track of Atlantic and North Pacific landfalling hurricanes. His data goes back 75 years, to 1950.
He has now updated his graphs to include last year:
Source: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/global-tropical-cyclone-landfalls
As with US storms, there is no evidence of any long term trends, either in the frequency of hurricanes or the number of major, Cat3+ storms.
The trend lines are basically flat, yet more data that refutes alarmist claims with facts.
Editor’s note: if you divide the graph into two halves, you see five stand-out hurricanes in the first half, and only two in the second. This backs up what the late Dr Tim Ball told me, that in a warmer world, you get LESS bad weather, not more.
See more here notalotofpeopleknowthat
Header image: Cummins
Bold emphasis added
About the author: Roger Pielke Jr. has been a professor at the University of Colorado since 2001. Previously, he was a staff scientist in the Environmental and Societal Impacts Group of the National Center for Atmospheric Research. He has degrees in mathematics, public policy, and political science, and is the author of numerous books.